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Subject: Re: Computer chess 10 years

Author: Aaron Gordon

Date: 14:31:45 02/26/03

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On February 26, 2003 at 13:37:43, Chris Carson wrote:

>Here is a look at time, mp, speed, SSDF, and FIDE.  Note that S/W improvement is
>a vital component to increasing ELO, however, since I do not know how to
>quantify the SW ELO improvements from the HW speed up over time, I can not break
>it out, thus it is included in the over all ELO improvement.
>
>			FIDE	SSDF
>Date	Mp	GHZ	SI2K	ELO	ELO
>
>Jun-78	8086	0.01	0.10	1443
>Feb-82	286	0.01	0.45	1650
>Sep-85	386	0.02	1	1760
>Apr-89	386	0.03	2	1833	2025
>May-90	486	0.03	4	1951	2139
>Aug-92	486	0.07	10	2077	2265
>Mar-94	P	0.09	24	2198	2382
>Jan-97	Pmmx	0.20	49	2296	2475
>Aug-97	PII	0.30	113	2412
>Jun-98	PII	0.45	175	2472	2697
>Nov-99	PIII	0.50	254	2523
>Nov-99	PIII	0.73	335	2561
>Mar-01	AMD	1.2	443	2600	2768
>Apr-01	PIV	2	722	2667
>Jan-03	PIV	3	1099	2725
>Jun-04		6	2000	2807
>Jan-06		12	4000	2903
>Jun-07		24	8000	2999
>Jan-09		48	16000	3094
>Jun-10		96	32000	3190
>Jan-12		192	64000	3285
>Jun-13		384	128000	3381
>
>Note: This is an estimate or opinion only.  The SSDF SEM is 30 and you can add
>20 more for my regression estimate for a total SEM of 50 points.
>
>Have fun and enjoy, hope the colums line up when I submit this.
>
>Carson

You're showing a P4-2GHz a 67 elo over a Tbird 1.2GHz.. how do you figure? In
chess they both get identical nodes/sec.



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