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Subject: Re: SSDF(Yace Paderborn - Ruffian 1.0.1)A1200, 1½-½, now 7-16

Author: Dieter Buerssner

Date: 10:13:35 03/12/03

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On March 12, 2003 at 06:48:35, Tony Hedlund wrote:

>The first eight games: 3.5-4.5
>     next   "     "  :   0-8
>Latest seven games   : 3.5-3.5

The 0-8 is looking a bit frustrating. Taking the win/draw/loss ratio for white
and black from the match until now, I calculated the probability of such a 0-8
series in a match of 23 games. The result is about 1.8%, so perhaps not that
unlikely, as it might seem at first glance. The probabilty of a 0-8 in a 8 game
match is of course smaller: 0.2%. (again using the w/d/l ratio from the match
until now).

Regards,
Dieter




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