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Subject: Help with statistics, how do I calculate which engine is probably better

Author: Albert Bertilsson

Date: 23:18:43 04/10/03


Hi!

When testing my new engine against my old engine I'd like to have some
estimation of how probable it is that the engine has become stronger.

How do I calculate that? I guess there is some formula, I'd like to learn it.

For example new version beats old version by 26-24 in 50 games. Is it stronger
(with some probability I guess)? If possible, how much stronger? How many games
should be played to get fairly accurate numbers when the engine is only a little
better?

I guess 10 games is to little but I can't do any development if I need 500 games
to know if it has improved.

/Regards Albert



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