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Subject: Is chess a win, loss, or draw? A proposal to gather suggestive evidence

Author: Dan Benjamin

Date: 17:10:49 04/12/03


It is, of course,unknown whether chess is ultimately a win, loss, or draw for
white, and wecannot know the answer for sure until chess is solved.  However, it
may be possible to gather some suggestive evidence:

The idea would be to have a computer solve different varieties of
mini-chess on a 4x5 chessboard, 5x5, and, if possible, 5x6.  For the
larger boards, it might take a computer running several days to solve it,
but it might be doable.  In each case, the set-up of white and black
pieces would be symmetric (e.g., NQKB in the 4x5 case), but one could vary
the set-up (e.g., trying BQKN, RQKN, etc.).

The questions would be:  Which of these are wins?  Do the winning
possibilities fall with the size of the board?  Does black ever win?

Of course, it may be difficult to infer anything about 8x8 chess from
mini-chess.  On the other hand, certain possible outcomes of this experiment
would be strongly suggestive.  For example, suppose it was found that all
versions are draws.  There is little reason to suppose that the outcome would be
different in 8x8 chess.

In any case, the games themselves might be entertaining.  And it might be fun to
resuscitate a research program on mini-chess, which was used extensively in the
early days of computer chess.

If anyone wants to run these experiments, I would be very curious about the
outcomes.



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