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Subject: Shredder 7.04's expected rating

Author: stuart taylor

Date: 10:24:39 05/04/03


I would propose that any program which gets 50% or over against all oncomers
after 50 games, is not just a "little" better than the others, but considerably
better. Atleast 40 elo.
The only chance for a runner up to be less than 40 elo behind is if it only
loses to the top one (and at a very small margin) but scores quite similar
against all others, like the top one does.
It will take alot of work to overcome a program which has consistent all-round
success, according to results, even after relatively few samples.
Anyway, that's been my line of thinking ever since I've been posting here.
Sounds familiar?
S.Taylor



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