Author: Kurt Utzinger
Date: 01:49:27 07/22/03
Go up one level in this thread
On July 22, 2003 at 04:41:41, Joost Buijs wrote:
>Probably they won't score 30%.
>
>If we look at the worst case, the Smirin vs computer match, the computers were
>having a performance rating of approximately 2610. These were old engines on
>outdated hardware.
>
>Nowadays the hardware is about twice as fast, add 50 ELO points.
>The latest engines (Fritz 8, Shredder 7) are at least 55 ELO points stronger, so
>a very conservative estimate is that the best engines on modern hardware perform
>at least at 2715 level.
>
>If we look at the ELO percentage expectancy table it is easy to see that a
>player with ~2100 ELO, like Mr. Nemeth claims to have, has a chance of scoring
>about 3% in a match with a player of 2715.
Discussions about Elo are not important. I would admit: Eduard Nemeth
will hardly be able to draw one single game vs a 2715 Elo player but this
has no relation to fights vs computer programs where it is relatively easy
to get a draw. There is a huge difference between playing vs strong humans
or vs strong computer programs.
Kurt
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