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Subject: Re: NO MORE human vs computer game again

Author: Dann Corbit

Date: 15:36:27 08/04/03

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On August 03, 2003 at 18:30:50, Lei , Shiann-Tzong wrote:

>
>I can play a rated game with fritz 8 or junior 8 or Shredder 7
>and set it to the lowest rating . and win it many times a day .
>
>If you have a rating over 2400 elo , you can post your human vs machine games
>here .
>If not , don't post it .
>I don't belive anyone without a 2400+ rating can defeat computer
>without anyone "Help" .
>
>According to Shredder 7 play in argentina , can  support my view-point .

Mathematically, you are wrong.

If a player rated 500 points below a machine in real strength plays enough
games, he will win one of them.

It may take quite a lot of games.  But this is not an opinion, it is a fact.

This assumes simply playing games based on strength.  If the human is clever at
learning computer weakesses or playing anticomputer chess, it may tip the
balance somewhat.

Win expectency for a difference of 0 points is 0.5
Win expectency for a difference of 100 points is 0.359935
Win expectency for a difference of 200 points is 0.240253
Win expectency for a difference of 300 points is 0.15098
Win expectency for a difference of 400 points is 0.0909091
Win expectency for a difference of 500 points is 0.0532402
Win expectency for a difference of 600 points is 0.0306534
Win expectency for a difference of 700 points is 0.0174721
Win expectency for a difference of 800 points is 0.00990099
Win expectency for a difference of 900 points is 0.00559197
Win expectency for a difference of 1000 points is 0.00315231



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