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Subject: Re: (off topic) Is my math right?

Author: William H Rogers

Date: 13:18:44 08/08/03

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The math may be right,but you assumption is wrong. Even when you play an engine
agaist itself, ie. virtually identical in every way, white has been proven to
have a very small advantage. A lot of work has been done to prove this over the
years and although I can not quote the source anymore I do remember the results.

Now take this probably scheme: Consider that over a great number of years it is
discovered that a small number of opening moves almost always leads to mate,
then if one program has these moves in its book and the other does not even
though the program with these moves may not be as strong as the second then it
clearly has an advantage.

In another example I once worked for Harrah's Club in Lake Tahoe. It is a
gambiling casino. In the club they hac slot machines with 4 reels and only one
jumbo jackpot symbol on each reel. It was told to us at the time that the odds
of hitting the jumbo jackpot were on the order of 400,000 to 1 (one). One night
while I was working at the club a young newly married couple came in and started
playing one of these machines. The hit the big one and after they were paid off
they continued to play the same machine. Diring the next two hours they had hit
the jumbo jackpot 4 (FOUR) times. Upon examining the machine after they had hit
the second jackpot the house machanic found that the machine was not
misfuntioning in any way. I do not know if that machine had ever paid out
another big jackpot in any time during the next 10 years.

Some times great unprobable things do happen.
Bill



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