Computer Chess Club Archives


Search

Terms

Messages

Subject: Re: (off topic) Is my math right?

Author: Erik Bergren

Date: 12:18:35 08/11/03

Go up one level in this thread


On August 08, 2003 at 16:18:44, William H Rogers wrote:

>The math may be right,but you assumption is wrong. Even when you play an engine
>agaist itself, ie. virtually identical in every way, white has been proven to
>have a very small advantage. A lot of work has been done to prove this over the
>years and although I can not quote the source anymore I do remember the results.
>
>Now take this probably scheme: Consider that over a great number of years it is
>discovered that a small number of opening moves almost always leads to mate,
>then if one program has these moves in its book and the other does not even
>though the program with these moves may not be as strong as the second then it
>clearly has an advantage.
>
>In another example I once worked for Harrah's Club in Lake Tahoe. It is a
>gambiling casino. In the club they hac slot machines with 4 reels and only one
>jumbo jackpot symbol on each reel. It was told to us at the time that the odds
>of hitting the jumbo jackpot were on the order of 400,000 to 1 (one). One night
>while I was working at the club a young newly married couple came in and started
>playing one of these machines. The hit the big one and after they were paid off
>they continued to play the same machine. Diring the next two hours they had hit
>the jumbo jackpot 4 (FOUR) times. Upon examining the machine after they had hit
>the second jackpot the house machanic found that the machine was not
>misfuntioning in any way. I do not know if that machine had ever paid out
>another big jackpot in any time during the next 10 years.
>
>Some times great unprobable things do happen.
>Bill
I was assumming that opponents switch sides so each can play
White an equal number of times.
The usual ratio of White wins is .6237.
    Your last comment is very important.
If you search long enough, unnusual things will happen.
So you must keep track.




This page took 0 seconds to execute

Last modified: Thu, 15 Apr 21 08:11:13 -0700

Current Computer Chess Club Forums at Talkchess. This site by Sean Mintz.