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Subject: Re: How fast million years goes...

Author: Uri Blass

Date: 04:25:04 08/21/03

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On August 21, 2003 at 07:18:47, Uri Blass wrote:

>On August 21, 2003 at 07:06:20, Omid David Tabibi wrote:
>
>>On August 21, 2003 at 06:12:12, Jouni Uski wrote:
>>
>>>[D]8/1p6/1Pp2N1q/p1Ppk2p/P3p3/3PPpPp/3K1P1P/1R6 w - -
>>>
>>>From CSS forum: Machine should, within a million hours, be able to find the draw
>>>in this position (with Ng4+). But Shredder 7.04 found it in one second!!
>>>
>>
>>It is not a draw. The black queen will penetrate into the white cvamp via a6.
>>For the past year I've been working on endgame blockage detection. I noticed
>>that Shredder has some very limited form of blockage detection, but it is very
>>inaccurate, and in many positions I tried, that inaccurate blockage detection
>>wreaked havoc to the search tree.
>
>Wrong
>
>It is a draw
>I also believed that it is not a draw but trying to win it
>against shredder I got the following game
>
>[Event "?"]
>[Site "?"]
>[Date "????.??.??"]
>[Round "?"]
>[White "New game"]
>[Black "?"]
>[Result "*"]
>[SetUp "1"]
>[FEN "8/1p6/1Pp2N1q/p1Ppk2p/P3p3/3PPpPp/3K1P1P/1R6 w - - 0 1"]
>[PlyCount "11"]
>
>1. Ng4+ hxg4 2. d4+ Ke6 3. Rh1 Qf8 4. Ke1 Qa8 5. Kf1 Qa6+ 6.
>Kg1 and black cannot make progress
>
>Uri

Here is some analysis of shredder in a non draw position
Shredder believes that black advantage is very small
until seeing the win by search.

I believe that shredder's score for maybe fortress position
is too small and +1 for black is more realistic for
a position that may be in significant part of the cases a win
for the stronger side.

New game
8/1p6/1Pp2N1q/p1Ppk2p/P3p3/3PPpPp/2K2P1P/1R6 w - - 0 1

Analysis by Shredder 7.04:

1.dxe4 Kxf6 2.exd5
  -+  (-2.38)   Depth: 1/2   00:00:00
1.dxe4 Kxf6 2.exd5
  -+  (-2.97)   Depth: 1/3   00:00:00
1.dxe4 Qxf6 2.exd5 Kxd5
  -+  (-4.95)   Depth: 1/4   00:00:00
1.Nxe4 dxe4
  -+  (-4.70)   Depth: 1/4   00:00:00
1.Nxe4 dxe4
  -+  (-4.70)   Depth: 1/4   00:00:00
1.Nd7+ Kf5
  -+  (-2.24)   Depth: 1/4   00:00:00
1.Nd7+ Kf5
  -+  (-1.55)   Depth: 1/4   00:00:00
1.Nd7+ Kf5
  -+  (-1.55)   Depth: 1/4   00:00:00
1.Nd7+ Ke6 2.Re1
  -+  (-1.82)   Depth: 2/6   00:00:00
1.Nd7+ Ke6 2.dxe4 Kxd7 3.exd5
  -+  (-2.38)   Depth: 2/6   00:00:00
1.Nd7+ Ke6 2.Nb8
  -+  (-2.36)   Depth: 2/6   00:00:00
1.Nd7+ Ke6 2.Nb8 exd3+ 3.Kc3
  -+  (-3.12)   Depth: 3/9   00:00:00
1.Nd7+ Ke6 2.Nb8 exd3+ 3.Kc3
  -+  (-3.62)   Depth: 3/11   00:00:00
1.Nd7+ Ke6 2.Nb8 exd3+ 3.Kc3
  -+  (-3.62)   Depth: 3/11   00:00:00
1.Ne8 Qf6 2.Nxf6
  -+  (-3.61)   Depth: 3/11   00:00:00
1.Ne8 exd3+ 2.Kc3 Ke4
  -+  (-3.28)   Depth: 3/11   00:00:00
1.Ne8 Qd6 2.cxd6 exd3+ 3.Kxd3
  -+  (-3.03)   Depth: 4/11   00:00:00
1.Ne8 exd3+ 2.Kc3 Qh7 3.Nd6
  -+  (-2.87)   Depth: 4/11   00:00:00
1.Ne8 exd3+ 2.Kc3 h4 3.g4 Qg6
  -+  (-3.03)   Depth: 5/13   00:00:00
1.Ne8 exd3+ 2.Kc3 d2 3.Rd1 Qg6 4.Nd6
  -+  (-3.00)   Depth: 6/16   00:00:00  13kN
1.Ne8 exd3+ 2.Kc3 Qh7 3.Nd6 d2 4.Rd1
  -+  (-3.07)   Depth: 7/16   00:00:00  26kN
1.Ne8 exd3+ 2.Kc3 Qh7 3.Nd6 Qf5
  -+  (-2.82)   Depth: 8/21   00:00:00  50kN
1.Ne8 exd3+ 2.Kc3 h4 3.Nd6 Qg7 4.gxh4 Qh7 5.h5
  -+  (-2.65)   Depth: 8/21   00:00:00  66kN
1.Ne8 exd3+ 2.Kc3 Qg6 3.Nd6 Qg4 4.e4 Qd7 5.Kxd3 dxe4+ 6.Ke3
  -+  (-2.65)   Depth: 9/22   00:00:01  149kN
1.Ne8 exd3+ 2.Kc3 Qg6 3.Nd6 Qg4 4.e4 Qg7 5.Nf5 Qg6 6.Rb2
  -+  (-2.90)   Depth: 10/22   00:00:02  219kN
1.Ne8 exd3+ 2.Kc3 Qg6 3.Nd6 Qg4 4.e4 Qg7 5.Kxd3 dxe4+ 6.Kc4 Qd7
  -+  (-2.92)   Depth: 10/25   00:00:02  290kN
1.Ng4+ Kf5 2.Nxh6+ Ke6
  -+  (-2.91)   Depth: 10/25   00:00:02  316kN
1.Ng4+ Kf5 2.Nxh6+ Ke6 3.dxe4 h4 4.gxh4 dxe4 5.Rd1 Ke5 6.Kc3
  -+  (-2.56)   Depth: 10/25   00:00:02  316kN
1.Ng4+ hxg4 2.d4+ Ke6 3.Kc3 Qf8 4.Rd1 Qa8 5.Kd2 Kf5 6.Kc3 Qa6
  =  (-0.15)   Depth: 10/25   00:00:02  390kN
1.Ng4+ hxg4 2.d4+ Ke6 3.Rd1 Qg6 4.Kc3 Qe8 5.Kb3 Kd7 6.Ka3 Qg6 7.Rb1
  =  (-0.14)   Depth: 11/25   00:00:03  414kN
1.Ng4+ hxg4 2.d4+ Ke6 3.Rd1 Qg6 4.Kb3 Kd7 5.Kc3 Qf7 6.Kb3 Ke6
  =  (-0.14)   Depth: 12/25   00:00:03  465kN
1.Ng4+ hxg4 2.d4+ Ke6 3.Rd1 Qg6 4.Kb3 Kd7 5.Kc3 Qf7 6.Kb3 Ke6
  =  (-0.14)   Depth: 13/25   00:00:04  559kN
1.Ng4+ hxg4 2.d4+ Ke6 3.Rd1 Qg6 4.Kb3 Kd7 5.Kc3 Qf7 6.Kb3 Ke6
  =  (-0.14)   Depth: 14/25   00:00:05  722kN
1.Ng4+ hxg4 2.d4+ Ke6 3.Rd1 Qg6 4.Kb3 Kd7 5.Kc3 Qf7 6.Kb3 Qe8 7.Ka3 Ke6 8.Rb1
Kf5 9.Re1
  =  (-0.15)   Depth: 15/25   00:00:06  930kN
1.Ng4+ hxg4 2.d4+ Ke6 3.Rd1 Qg6 4.Kb3 Kd7 5.Kc3 Qf7 6.Kb3 Qe8 7.Ka3 Ke6 8.Rb1
Kf5 9.Rb2 Kg6
  =  (-0.14)   Depth: 16/25   00:00:08  1374kN
1.Ng4+ hxg4 2.d4+ Ke6 3.Rd1 Qg6 4.Kb3 Kd7 5.Rb1 Qf7 6.Re1
  =  (-0.14)   Depth: 17/25   00:00:11  2079kN
1.Ng4+ hxg4 2.d4+ Ke6 3.Rd1 Qf8 4.Kc3 Qa8 5.Rd2 Qa6 6.Ra2 Qc4+ 7.Kb2 Qf1 8.Kc2
Qxf2+ 9.Kc3 Qxe3+ 10.Kc2 Qxd4 11.Ra1 Qxa1
  ³  (-0.39)   Depth: 18/25   00:00:18  3513kN
1.Ng4+ hxg4 2.d4+ Ke6 3.Rd1 Qf8 4.Kc3 Qa8 5.Rd2 Qa6 6.Ra2 Qc4+ 7.Kb2 Qf1 8.Kc2
Qxf2+ 9.Kc3 Qxe3+ 10.Kc2 Qxd4 11.Ra1 Qxa1
  µ  (-0.89)   Depth: 18/25   00:00:18  3699kN
1.Ng4+ hxg4 2.d4+ Ke6 3.Kd2 Qf8 4.Ke1 Qa8 5.Kf1 Qa6+ 6.Kg1 Qc4 7.Re1 Qxa4 8.Rb1
  -+  (-9.21)   Depth: 18/38   00:00:35  7365kN
1.Nd7+ Ke6 2.Nb8 exd3+ 3.Kd2 Qf8 4.Nxc6 bxc6 5.Rb2 Qxc5 6.Kxd3 Qxe3+ 7.fxe3 Ke5
  -+  (-9.20)   Depth: 18/42   00:01:22  16520kN
1.Nd7+ Ke6 2.Nb8 exd3+ 3.Kd2 Qf8 4.Nxc6 bxc6 5.Rb2 Qxc5 6.Kxd3 Qxe3+ 7.fxe3 Ke5
8.Kc3 Kd6
  -+  (-8.85)   Depth: 18/42   00:01:31  18559kN

(Blass, Tel-Aviv 21.08.2003)

Uri



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