Author: Jorge Pichard
Date: 14:37:55 08/27/03
Go up one level in this thread
On August 27, 2003 at 17:09:36, George Tsavdaris wrote: >On August 27, 2003 at 16:05:58, Kurt Utzinger wrote: > >> >>The end of the tournament is indeed very exiting. The first time in the >>tournament The King 3.23 skr with general.ctg takes the lead together >>with Shredder 7.04 but Junior 8 is only a half point behind and with >>only four rounds to go all can happen. Who will be the lucky winner >>after total 280 games, 70 games per engine? One thing is however >>clear: the book general.ctg is much better for The King 3.23 skr >>than the remis.ctg. > >I bet on Shredder in both tables! Even now i can't believe the bad >performance of Hiarcs 8 and especially Chess Tiger 15.0. Why this happened? >It's a mystery. Maybe 70 more games and things would change. >But one thing is clear: engine strength is a complicated equation that depends >on: opening books,hardware speed,permanent brain,hash size,luck?,time >controls,the opponents,endgame tablebases,book learning and even if you >keep these parameters (except luck) the same, for finding the best we need >many many games (to eliminate luck). There is no significant difference between the top programs, it all depends on the confidence interval of the estimator (the true value lies with 95/99% probability in this region). This is what the Swedes do in the SSDF lists according to Chrilly Donninger: http://www.chessbase.com/newsdetail.asp?newsid=1146 >> Program Score % Av.Op. Elo + - >> >> 1 TK 3.23 skr general.ctg : 40.5/ 66 61.4 2490 2571 75 59 >> 2 Shredder 7.04 : 40.5/ 66 61.4 2489 2570 75 59 >> 3 Junior 8.0.0.2 : 40.0/ 66 60.6 2490 2565 75 63 >> 4 Fritz 8.0.0.8 : 37.0/ 66 56.1 2495 2537 80 63 >> 5 Deep Sjeng 1.5 : 29.5/ 66 44.7 2506 2469 64 81 >> 6 Chess Tiger 15.0 : 27.5/ 66 41.7 2508 2450 52 78 >> 7 Ruffian 1.0.5 : 27.0/ 66 40.9 2508 2444 57 77 >> 8 Hiarcs 8 : 22.0/ 66 33.3 2516 2395 60 70 >> >> >> >> Program Score % Av.Op. Elo + - >> >> 1 Shredder 7.04 : 41.0/ 66 62.1 2489 2575 74 61 >> 2 Junior 8.0.0.2 : 40.5/ 66 61.4 2488 2569 75 62 >> 3 Fritz 8.0.0.8 : 39.5/ 66 59.8 2492 2561 76 70 >> 4 Deep Sjeng 1.5 : 32.0/ 66 48.5 2501 2491 62 86 >> 5 TK 3.23 skr remis.ctg : 31.5/ 66 47.7 2502 2486 60 85 >> 6 Ruffian 1.0.5 : 29.5/ 66 44.7 2505 2468 54 81 >> 7 Chess Tiger 15.0 : 27.5/ 66 41.7 2508 2449 52 78 >> 8 Hiarcs 8 : 22.5/ 66 34.1 2515 2401 62 71 >> >> >> >> >>Further details at: >>Détails additionnels chez: >>Weitere Details unter: >> >>http://www.utzingerkurt.com
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