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Subject: Re: In about 20 years computer earned 1000 elo points, what's you forecast ?

Author: stuart taylor

Date: 15:44:45 10/01/03

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On October 01, 2003 at 16:51:51, Vincent Lejeune wrote:

>20 years ago, an home computer, who run a chess engine, weight about 1600, now
>about 2600.
>What will be strenght of chess computer in 2013 ?
>
>Please give your oppinion ...
>(3100 is tempting :o) )

I'm not sure that it is worth spending too much time and energy speculating and
waiting for 2013.
I think that the best computers have more or less arrived at what they will
arrive at, and from now on it will be a slow proccess of finer tuning, and the
increasing speed allowances will merely be allowing the programs to fit in more
knowledge within the time controls that previously would have suffered from the
slowdown caused by too much knowledge.
Yours, humbly,
S.Taylor



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