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Subject: Re: In about 20 years computer earned 1000 elo points, what's you forecast ?

Author: Uri Blass

Date: 16:02:38 10/01/03

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On October 01, 2003 at 18:44:45, stuart taylor wrote:

>On October 01, 2003 at 16:51:51, Vincent Lejeune wrote:
>
>>20 years ago, an home computer, who run a chess engine, weight about 1600, now
>>about 2600.
>>What will be strenght of chess computer in 2013 ?
>>
>>Please give your oppinion ...
>>(3100 is tempting :o) )
>
>I'm not sure that it is worth spending too much time and energy speculating and
>waiting for 2013.
>I think that the best computers have more or less arrived at what they will
>arrive at, and from now on it will be a slow proccess of finer tuning, and the
>increasing speed allowances will merely be allowing the programs to fit in more
>knowledge within the time controls that previously would have suffered from the
>slowdown caused by too much knowledge.
>Yours, humbly,
>S.Taylor

I do not agree.
I believe that there is going to be a big progress in software and not only in
hardware.

Uri



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