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Subject: Re: In about 20 years computer earned 1000 elo points, what's you forecast ?

Author: Uri Blass

Date: 23:42:02 10/01/03

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On October 01, 2003 at 19:20:16, stuart taylor wrote:

>On October 01, 2003 at 19:02:38, Uri Blass wrote:
>
>>On October 01, 2003 at 18:44:45, stuart taylor wrote:
>>
>>>On October 01, 2003 at 16:51:51, Vincent Lejeune wrote:
>>>
>>>>20 years ago, an home computer, who run a chess engine, weight about 1600, now
>>>>about 2600.
>>>>What will be strenght of chess computer in 2013 ?
>>>>
>>>>Please give your oppinion ...
>>>>(3100 is tempting :o) )
>>>
>>>I'm not sure that it is worth spending too much time and energy speculating and
>>>waiting for 2013.
>>>I think that the best computers have more or less arrived at what they will
>>>arrive at, and from now on it will be a slow proccess of finer tuning, and the
>>>increasing speed allowances will merely be allowing the programs to fit in more
>>>knowledge within the time controls that previously would have suffered from the
>>>slowdown caused by too much knowledge.
>>>Yours, humbly,
>>>S.Taylor
>>
>>I do not agree.
>>I believe that there is going to be a big progress in software and not only in
>>hardware.
>>
>>Uri
>
>You are more educated in this than I am. Can you explain in simple language a
>few things which will be better, and how it will affect the actual playing?
>(long term planning?)
>S.Taylor

I think that one thing that is going to be better is search.
pruning is going to be improved so program may go deeper.
another thing is that extensions are going to be improved.

There are other things to be improved that I plan to implement in movei in the
future.

Uri



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