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Subject: Re: In about 20 years computer earned 1000 elo points, what's you forecast ?

Author: Drexel,Michael

Date: 02:32:56 10/02/03

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On October 01, 2003 at 19:45:38, Roger D Davis wrote:

>On October 01, 2003 at 16:51:51, Vincent Lejeune wrote:
>
>>20 years ago, an home computer, who run a chess engine, weight about 1600, now
>>about 2600.
>>What will be strenght of chess computer in 2013 ?
>>
>>Please give your oppinion ...
>>(3100 is tempting :o) )
>
>Problem is, in the past there was something to shoot for: Grandmaster moves
>definitely better than those produced by computers, even at shorter time
>controls. However, soon we'll be in a phase where it's no longer clear that
>grandmaster moves are superior. In fact, we might be entering a phase where
>there are only stylistic differences between programs. That is, computers might
>be able to find, for many positions, multiple good moves that all represent
>perfect play because they all draw.

That is not perfect play. The goal in chess is to beat your opponents(IE to get
as many points as possible) and not to never lose against any opponent.
In order to do that you have to pose him/it problems he/it is not able to solve.

No one knows, because no one knows what the
>whole chess tree looks like, and never will.
>
>roger



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