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Subject: Re: In about 20 years computer earned 1000 elo points, what's you forecast ?

Author: stuart taylor

Date: 13:05:54 10/02/03

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On October 02, 2003 at 05:32:56, Drexel,Michael wrote:

>On October 01, 2003 at 19:45:38, Roger D Davis wrote:
>
>>On October 01, 2003 at 16:51:51, Vincent Lejeune wrote:
>>
>>>20 years ago, an home computer, who run a chess engine, weight about 1600, now
>>>about 2600.
>>>What will be strenght of chess computer in 2013 ?
>>>
>>>Please give your oppinion ...
>>>(3100 is tempting :o) )
>>
>>Problem is, in the past there was something to shoot for: Grandmaster moves
>>definitely better than those produced by computers, even at shorter time
>>controls. However, soon we'll be in a phase where it's no longer clear that
>>grandmaster moves are superior. In fact, we might be entering a phase where
>>there are only stylistic differences between programs. That is, computers might
>>be able to find, for many positions, multiple good moves that all represent
>>perfect play because they all draw.
>
>That is not perfect play. The goal in chess is to beat your opponents(IE to get
>as many points as possible) and not to never lose against any opponent.
>In order to do that you have to pose him/it problems he/it is not able to solve.
>
>No one knows, because no one knows what the
>>whole chess tree looks like, and never will.
>>
>>roger

If you have a chess program which NEVER EVER loses, then I think it will easily
surpass 3000 any time.
It will obviously present many problems too, as that ability is a necesity to
never ever lose.
S.Taylor



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