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Subject: Re: Maybe ...

Author: Dieter Buerssner

Date: 13:39:07 10/06/03

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On October 06, 2003 at 16:11:26, Roy Eassa wrote:

>On October 06, 2003 at 12:30:54, Dann Corbit wrote:

>>If (against the same pool) the 2700 players managed only 1e-5 % of the points,
>>then the Elo would be 2700 + 2800 = 5500
>
>
>OK, you've given me a new life's goal: get my rating up to 5500.  ;-)

Don't be too optimistic. I calculate a different number. For a rating difference
of 2800 points, I calculate the average points expected in one game for the
weaker player as:

p = 0.5*erfc(rating_difference/400.)
 2.0919128E-23

So, you should never lose and not allow one single draw in over 2e22 games. Good
luck! :-)

I guess, Dann used some approximate formula, that will only work well with
rather moderate rating difference.

Regards,
Dieter



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