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Subject: Re: Node frequencies, and a flame

Author: Dann Corbit

Date: 10:42:23 10/21/03

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On October 21, 2003 at 10:00:54, Robert Hyatt wrote:

>On October 20, 2003 at 23:32:37, Dave Gomboc wrote:
>
>>On October 16, 2003 at 18:49:55, Anthony Cozzie wrote:
>>
>>>1. Moore's law is NOT A LAW.  Its going to come to an end by 2020, if not
>>>earlier.
>>
>>I doubt it.  As each technology reaches its limits, a new one comes along.  For
>>instance, by the time transistors hit the size limit, 3-D molecular computing
>>will have arrived.
>>
>>Dave
>
>
>QED moore's law ends.  Note that Moore's law is _not_ about doubling the
>speed of a processor every 18 months to two years.  It is about doubling
>the _density_ of electronic parts.

However, a more general form of the principle is that every 18 months compute
power for the same number of dollars doubles.  That effect may continue for some
time.



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