Author: Terry McCracken
Date: 19:35:53 11/06/03
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On November 06, 2003 at 21:59:45, Steve Maughan wrote: >Terry, > >>>The results of test and matches are not opinions but facts. >> >>Yes, but the results are not scientific proof that Shredder 7.04 is in fact >>stronger than any engine in the top ten! The difference is too small. > >At the 95% level Shredder is clearly better. According to the SSDF it leads >Junior 8 by 28 ELO, having played 781 games. This difference is *NOT* too small >- at least not at the 95% level. The error margin is +28 / -26. Of course it >is invalid to add the error margins of Junior 8 and Shredder 7 because you'd be >effectively increasing the confidence levels above 95%. Of course you could >argue that 95% is not a high enough probability and you'd prefer 99.9999% - but >then you're heading down the road of computer chess narcissism - an ideology >that seems to be in favor here!?! > >Regards, > >Steve Total nonsense!
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