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Subject: Re: Why can't Kasparov play Shredder 7.04 or 8.0?

Author: Sune Fischer

Date: 03:47:52 11/07/03

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On November 06, 2003 at 22:35:53, Terry McCracken wrote:

>On November 06, 2003 at 21:59:45, Steve Maughan wrote:
>
>>Terry,
>>
>>>>The results of test and matches are not opinions but facts.
>>>
>>>Yes, but the results are not scientific proof that Shredder 7.04 is in fact
>>>stronger than any engine in the top ten! The difference is too small.
>>
>>At the 95% level Shredder is clearly better.  According to the SSDF it leads
>>Junior 8 by 28 ELO, having played 781 games.  This difference is *NOT* too small
>>- at least not at the 95% level.  The error margin is +28 / -26.  Of course it
>>is invalid to add the error margins of Junior 8 and Shredder 7 because you'd be
>>effectively increasing the confidence levels above 95%.  Of course you could
>>argue that 95% is not a high enough probability and you'd prefer 99.9999% - but
>>then you're heading down the road of computer chess narcissism - an ideology
>>that seems to be in favor here!?!
>>
>>Regards,
>>
>>Steve
>
>
>Total nonsense!

Which part didn't you understand?

-S.



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