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Subject: Re: Junior - Crafty NPS Challenge - a user experiment

Author: Drexel,Michael

Date: 22:32:28 11/21/03

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On November 21, 2003 at 22:03:53, Robert Hyatt wrote:

>On November 21, 2003 at 19:11:41, Will Singleton wrote:
>
>>On November 21, 2003 at 18:24:42, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>
>>>On November 21, 2003 at 18:05:55, Joachim Rang wrote:
>>>
>>>>On November 21, 2003 at 16:47:52, Peter Berger wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>Following recent heated discussions I'd love to do a little testmatch. There are
>>>>>different versions of the challenge online - I chose one that I can kind of
>>>>>simulate myself with slower hardware.
>>>>>
>>>>>Junior 8.0.0.2 will play on a P233MMX, 32 MB RAM.
>>>>>Crafty 19.4 will play on a PIV2.0GHz notebook, 1GHz RAM.
>>>>>
>>>>>Time control will be game in 2 hours with 10 seconds increment/move. The match
>>>>>will be done like older FIDE world championship matches - the first one to win 6
>>>>>games wins the match, draws won't count.
>>>>>
>>>>>Junior uses 16MB Hash, 3+4 men tablebases, 1MB cache, junior8.ctg.
>>>>>Crafty uses 384MB Hash, 64MB hashp, 3+4 men tablebases, 32MB cache, own book,
>>>>>aware of playing a computer.
>>>>>
>>>>>Compairing setups with Crafty bench (hash 12M, hashp 3M, cache 1M on the slower
>>>>>one) suggests a speed difference factor of about 10.5 in raw nodes per seconds
>>>>>and 11.0 in "SMP time to-ply-measurement" between the two computers.
>>>>>As the Junior Mark doesn't work on the slower one and Junior chooses to search
>>>>>different depths on both in the starting position, I can't really give a number.
>>>>>The difference seems to be slightly lower for Junior though, sth like 9.0 maybe.
>>>>>
>>>>>Saying that the faster computer is about 10 times faster shouldn't be too wrong.
>>>>>
>>>>>That's also clearly an upper-bound for faster hardware Crafty could reasonably
>>>>>come up to compete with against a single-CPU opponent in a current competition
>>>>>on fast computers IMHO - the speedup demands 16 CPUs I guess, and I don't know
>>>>>if Crafty can really scale that well.
>>>>>
>>>>>With this setup Crafty should be the clear favourite I suppose.
>>>>>
>>>>>Crafty won the toss and will have the white pieces in the first game.
>>>>>
>>>>>Peter
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>nice test indeed. I think crafty will win.
>>>>
>>>>regards Joachim
>>>
>>>If it loses I should obviously retire from computer chess due to gross
>>>incompetence.
>>
>>You already have two people (above) who think Junior has a chance to win, so I
>>suppose you should at least start checking the social security balance.  Me, I
>>think Crafty will win easily, perhaps 6-0 (not counting draws).
>>
>>Will
>
>I'd expect 5-1 or 6-0 at 10:1 time odds, discounting quite a few draws
>that are expected...
>
>As for who thinks that a 10:1 time odds is not enough, I suspect they have
>not "gotten dirty" by writing something that is serious.  10:1 is quite a
>bonus.  100:1 is even better...
>
>If I couldn't win at 10:1 it would be time to hang it up, IMHO, no matter
>how much or little time I get to spend on it...

Isn't Junior 8 about 150 ELO stronger than Crafty?
Assuming 50 ELO per 2x speedup you get?

8:1

So at 10:1 it should be a close match with some chances for Junior to win.
No reason to hang up of course.

Michael

>
>
>>
>>ps  Nice of Peter to arrange this match, promises to be diverting.  Any chance
>>of a live feed using Tom's viewer?



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