Author: Russell Reagan
Date: 01:21:04 11/22/03
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On November 22, 2003 at 03:52:25, Gian-Carlo Pascutto wrote: >Nonsense. If he plays on till the score DIFFERENCE is 6 points, >it's staticstically a very valid result (somewhere >90 or >95% >certainty). > >This holds pretty much regardless of the actual amount of games >that is played. Someone with more time can calculate the exact >values but I'm pretty sure the above holds. Hmmm. The program I have that calculates statistical reliability of results disagrees with you (http://www.stevemaughan.com/whoisbetter.htm). According to it... 16 - 10 -> 83% 106 - 100 -> 63% 1006 - 1000 -> 54% 5006 - 5000 -> 52% and so on... What you say doesn't make any sense. If we play a billion games and you're up 6 games on me, it means we're basically equal. You *might* be better with a 51% statistical reliability. Do you really think a result of +1000006 -1000000 =997999994 means one player is better with a 90-95% statistical reliability?
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