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Subject: Re: Junior - Crafty NPS Challenge - a user experiment

Author: Robert Hyatt

Date: 12:48:33 11/22/03

Go up one level in this thread


On November 22, 2003 at 03:52:25, Gian-Carlo Pascutto wrote:

>On November 22, 2003 at 00:55:50, Slater Wold wrote:
>
>>If the 233mhz doesn't die first, here's my prediction:
>>
>>You play MORE than 12 games. Crafty wins, but with so many draws, >it'll "cancel" any *real* proof the match might have given.
>
>Nonsense. If he plays on till the score DIFFERENCE is 6 points,
>it's staticstically a very valid result (somewhere >90 or >95%
>certainty).

The point is that if Crafty wins 6 games after playing 6 games, you
get _one_ rating.  If it wins 6 games out of 1000 games, you get
a totally different rating that doesn't prove much about the +6 game
edge...


>
>This holds pretty much regardless of the actual amount of games
>that is played. Someone with more time can calculate the exact
>values but I'm pretty sure the above holds.
>
>--
>GCP



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