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Subject: Re: Junior - Crafty NPS Challenge - a user experiment

Author: Robert Hyatt

Date: 12:56:08 11/22/03

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On November 22, 2003 at 01:01:35, Peter Kappler wrote:

>On November 21, 2003 at 22:03:53, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>
>>On November 21, 2003 at 19:11:41, Will Singleton wrote:
>>
>>>On November 21, 2003 at 18:24:42, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>
>>>>On November 21, 2003 at 18:05:55, Joachim Rang wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>On November 21, 2003 at 16:47:52, Peter Berger wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>>Following recent heated discussions I'd love to do a little testmatch. There are
>>>>>>different versions of the challenge online - I chose one that I can kind of
>>>>>>simulate myself with slower hardware.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Junior 8.0.0.2 will play on a P233MMX, 32 MB RAM.
>>>>>>Crafty 19.4 will play on a PIV2.0GHz notebook, 1GHz RAM.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Time control will be game in 2 hours with 10 seconds increment/move. The match
>>>>>>will be done like older FIDE world championship matches - the first one to win 6
>>>>>>games wins the match, draws won't count.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Junior uses 16MB Hash, 3+4 men tablebases, 1MB cache, junior8.ctg.
>>>>>>Crafty uses 384MB Hash, 64MB hashp, 3+4 men tablebases, 32MB cache, own book,
>>>>>>aware of playing a computer.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Compairing setups with Crafty bench (hash 12M, hashp 3M, cache 1M on the slower
>>>>>>one) suggests a speed difference factor of about 10.5 in raw nodes per seconds
>>>>>>and 11.0 in "SMP time to-ply-measurement" between the two computers.
>>>>>>As the Junior Mark doesn't work on the slower one and Junior chooses to search
>>>>>>different depths on both in the starting position, I can't really give a number.
>>>>>>The difference seems to be slightly lower for Junior though, sth like 9.0 maybe.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Saying that the faster computer is about 10 times faster shouldn't be too wrong.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>That's also clearly an upper-bound for faster hardware Crafty could reasonably
>>>>>>come up to compete with against a single-CPU opponent in a current competition
>>>>>>on fast computers IMHO - the speedup demands 16 CPUs I guess, and I don't know
>>>>>>if Crafty can really scale that well.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>With this setup Crafty should be the clear favourite I suppose.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Crafty won the toss and will have the white pieces in the first game.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Peter
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>nice test indeed. I think crafty will win.
>>>>>
>>>>>regards Joachim
>>>>
>>>>If it loses I should obviously retire from computer chess due to gross
>>>>incompetence.
>>>
>>>You already have two people (above) who think Junior has a chance to win, so I
>>>suppose you should at least start checking the social security balance.  Me, I
>>>think Crafty will win easily, perhaps 6-0 (not counting draws).
>>>
>>>Will
>>
>>I'd expect 5-1 or 6-0 at 10:1 time odds, discounting quite a few draws
>>that are expected...
>>
>>As for who thinks that a 10:1 time odds is not enough, I suspect they have
>>not "gotten dirty" by writing something that is serious.  10:1 is quite a
>>bonus.  100:1 is even better...
>>
>>If I couldn't win at 10:1 it would be time to hang it up, IMHO, no matter
>>how much or little time I get to spend on it...
>>
>
>
>When did the time odds change from 100x to 10x?

There are _two_ things going on, which is causing confusion.  Amir and I
are talking about 100:1 time odds.  The match being played on CCC right
now is using a 10:1 handicap by using a slow pentium 233 vs a new machine
that is about 10x faster.

This is just a "proof of concept" to see if 100:1 will be significant or
not.


>
>The SSDF rating list shows Junior ahead by 25 ELO even when Crafty runs on a
>machine that is 4x faster.
>
>Junior 7.0      128MB K6-2 450 MHz      2639
>Crafty 18.12/CB 256MB Athlon 1200 MHz 	2615
>
>(My Athlon 1400 is 4.5x faster than my K6-3/450, so I think 4x is about right
>for the two machines above.)
>
>The same rating list shows that Junior 8.0 is 100 pts stronger than Junior 7.  I
>don't know how much progress Crafty has made since version 18.12, but I would
>guess that it's less than 100 pts.
>
>You'll also likely be facing Junior's tournament opening book - potentially a
>huge advantage for Junior.

No, the book is _specifically_ eliminated.  This is testing speed vs speed,
not book vs book which is uninteresting in time odds.  If you saw my suggestion
for rules, "if either program is -1 or worse out of book, the game is aborted
and a new one started with the same colors, to eliminate book traps that should
not matter when comparing two engines at time odds."

>
>Add it all up, and it seems like this could be a tough match even at 10x.

If we didn't eliminate the book issue, I would not even try it...  I'm not
going to waste time preparing some special book when the idea is to compare
speed vs knowledge, not book vs book.

>
>-Peter



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