Author: Dieter Buerssner
Date: 11:31:43 11/23/03
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On November 22, 2003 at 20:01:27, Robert Hyatt wrote: >I disagree. Ditto >6-0-0 vs 6-0-1000 are way different results. And the >rating and rating error bar would be far different. I tried to explain, that Elo rating is not an objective measure for the likelyhood, that one is better. >With a 6 0 result >I would conclude the 6 side is significantly better. with 6 wins and >1000 draws I would not conclude _either_ was better with any confidence. Both resutlts are identical for the question for the likelyhood, who is better. If I cannot convince you, perhaps have a look at Rémi Coulom's paper, available from http://remi.coulom.free.fr/ (inside http://remi.coulom.free.fr/WhoIsBest.zip). One cite from that paper: "This proves that the likelihood that the first player is best does not depend on the number of draws." Regards, Dieter
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