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Subject: Re: I forgot

Author: Slater Wold

Date: 22:17:40 11/30/03

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On December 01, 2003 at 01:14:41, Les Fernandez wrote:

>On December 01, 2003 at 01:11:46, Les Fernandez wrote:
>
>>On December 01, 2003 at 00:38:28, Slater Wold wrote:
>>
>>>On December 01, 2003 at 00:35:26, Les Fernandez wrote:
>>>
>>>>Anyone have any idea what the percentage is for a chess engine after say 90 sec
>>>>of analysis that one of the top 5 suggested moves is in fact the best move?  And
>>>>what percent of the time would you guess that after an additional 90 sec that an
>>>>alternate move is found and that it was not one of the top 5 choices after the
>>>>first 90 seconds?  And finally can crafty when it is done with its analysis
>>>>report the top 5 highest rated moves and if not what engine can do that?
>>>>
>>>>Thanks,
>>>>
>>>>Les
>>>
>>>Rebel tracks it by depth.  Here's my output:
>>>
>>>                 SEARCH OVERVIEW
>>>                 ===============
>>>
>>>Depth    Moves          Moves         Big Score
>>>       Searched        Changed         Changes
>>>
>>> 1       7118         0 =  0.0%        0 =  0.0%
>>> 2       7009      2832 = 40.4%     1900 = 27.1%
>>> 3       6988      2131 = 30.5%     1160 = 16.6%
>>> 4       6933      1856 = 26.8%      653 =  9.4%
>>> 5       6923      1777 = 25.7%      774 = 11.2%
>>> 6       6892      1504 = 21.8%      582 =  8.4%
>>> 7       6873      1403 = 20.4%      571 =  8.3%
>>> 8       6824      1264 = 18.5%      480 =  7.0%
>>> 9       6735      1247 = 18.5%      454 =  6.7%
>>>10       6509       924 = 14.2%      306 =  4.7%
>>>11       6077       904 = 14.9%      344 =  5.7%
>>>12       5276       665 = 12.6%      224 =  4.2%
>>>13       3984       473 = 11.9%      179 =  4.5%
>>>14       2473       216 =  8.7%      103 =  4.2%
>>>15       1415       113 =  8.0%       81 =  5.7%
>>>16        867        38 =  4.4%       52 =  6.0%
>>>17        543        17 =  3.1%       38 =  7.0%
>>>18        322         9 =  2.8%       28 =  8.7%
>>>19        240         9 =  3.8%       24 = 10.0%
>>>20        200         5 =  2.5%       11 =  5.5%
>>>21        165         2 =  1.2%        7 =  4.2%
>>>22        128         2 =  1.6%        8 =  6.3%
>>>23         96         1 =  1.0%        3 =  3.1%
>>>24         84         1 =  1.2%        5 =  6.0%
>>>25         74         1 =  1.4%        4 =  5.4%
>>>26         70         1 =  1.4%        1 =  1.4%
>>>27         66         2 =  3.0%        1 =  1.5%
>>>28         63         2 =  3.2%        1 =  1.6%
>>>29         63         1 =  1.6%        1 =  1.6%
>>>30         60         1 =  1.7%        1 =  1.7%
>>>31         58         0 =  0.0%        1 =  1.7%
>>>32         57         1 =  1.8%        1 =  1.8%
>>>33         56         0 =  0.0%        2 =  3.6%
>>>34         54         0 =  0.0%        1 =  1.9%
>>>35         52         0 =  0.0%        0 =  0.0%
>>>36         50         0 =  0.0%        0 =  0.0%
>>>37         49         0 =  0.0%        0 =  0.0%
>>>38         47         0 =  0.0%        0 =  0.0%
>>>39         45         0 =  0.0%        0 =  0.0%
>>>40         45         0 =  0.0%        0 =  0.0%
>>>41         44         0 =  0.0%        0 =  0.0%
>>>42         44         0 =  0.0%        0 =  0.0%
>>>43         42         0 =  0.0%        0 =  0.0%
>>>44         40         0 =  0.0%        0 =  0.0%
>>>45         40         0 =  0.0%        0 =  0.0%
>>>46         40         0 =  0.0%        0 =  0.0%
>>>47         40         0 =  0.0%        0 =  0.0%
>>>48         39         0 =  0.0%        0 =  0.0%
>>>49         39         0 =  0.0%        0 =  0.0%
>>>50         39         0 =  0.0%        0 =  0.0%
>>>51         37         0 =  0.0%        0 =  0.0%
>>>52         37         0 =  0.0%        0 =  0.0%
>>>53         37         0 =  0.0%        0 =  0.0%
>>>54         37         0 =  0.0%        0 =  0.0%
>>>55         37         0 =  0.0%        0 =  0.0%
>>>56         37         0 =  0.0%        0 =  0.0%
>>>57         37         0 =  0.0%        0 =  0.0%
>>>58         37         0 =  0.0%        0 =  0.0%
>>>59         37         0 =  0.0%        0 =  0.0%
>>>60         37         0 =  0.0%        0 =  0.0%
>>
>>Hi Slater,
>>
>>I am not sure I understand this output fully.  Moves changed percent is it based
>>on a number of games to the indicated ply depth?  Big score changes??  What type
>>of magnitude are we talking about here.  I thank you so much for your response
>>however I think I need to have an idea or atleast an approximation as to how
>>long it takes rebel to reach the listed depths.  I understand that it will vary
>>at times depending on the position but a good educated guess won't hurt for the
>>time being.
>>
>>Thanks,
>>
>>Les
>
>ps I really need to know what the top 5 best choices were and whether or not
>after an additional 90 sec what percent of the time the final best move is not
>one of the initial (first 90 sec) top 5 best choices.
>
>Sorry for the repeat!

You'll have to ask Ed what the big score change threshold is, I have no idea.
But on average, ~5 seconds would be ply 9 or so (on my machine).

As far as the best top 5, I have no idea.  Fritz can do it in analysis mode
(ALT+F2 and then hit the + sign).  Other than that, I have no idea.



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