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Subject: Re: I disagree

Author: Sandro Necchi

Date: 10:23:33 12/29/03

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On December 29, 2003 at 12:46:47, Luis Smith wrote:

>>I do agree too.
>>
>>Crafty has no realistic chances to win a WCCC.
>>
>>Sandro
>
>IMO only Bob can know this for sure.  I think people either over estimate the
>commercials, or underestimate Crafty.  After all at the WCCC's only 11 games
>were played, who knows what could have happened in that time, especially with
>the kind of hardware that Dr. Hyatt could get.

No, Bob does not know this.
He is a "little outdated" on this matter.

At the 2003 WCCC there were 3 favorites (Shredder, Fritz and Junior), 2 possible
outsiders (Brutus and Diep).

Based on my experience I gave these chances, before the tournament started:

Shredder 35% (because of the slower hardware)
Fritz    30%
Junior   25%
Brutus    7%
Diep      3%
rest      0%

Do you really believe Crafty is better than the average rest? I do not. He would
have to rely on too many bugs on the competition. This is not realistic.

Of course everybody can say anything different, but in reality this is the
situation.

Someone said that the WCCC is more or less a lottery.
OK, than can someone can explaing why since 1996 only Junior and Shredder won?

Sandro



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