Author: Daniel Clausen
Date: 11:26:19 12/29/03
Go up one level in this thread
On December 29, 2003 at 13:23:33, Sandro Necchi wrote: >On December 29, 2003 at 12:46:47, Luis Smith wrote: > >>>I do agree too. >>> >>>Crafty has no realistic chances to win a WCCC. >>> >>>Sandro >> >>IMO only Bob can know this for sure. I think people either over estimate the >>commercials, or underestimate Crafty. After all at the WCCC's only 11 games >>were played, who knows what could have happened in that time, especially with >>the kind of hardware that Dr. Hyatt could get. > >No, Bob does not know this. >He is a "little outdated" on this matter. > >At the 2003 WCCC there were 3 favorites (Shredder, Fritz and Junior), 2 possible >outsiders (Brutus and Diep). > >Based on my experience I gave these chances, before the tournament started: > >Shredder 35% (because of the slower hardware) >Fritz 30% >Junior 25% >Brutus 7% >Diep 3% >rest 0% Sure, if only you posted that _before_ the tournament. :) [and Shredder has the most % _because_ of the slower hardware?) >Of course everybody can say anything different, but in reality this is the >situation. Hard to argue with this POV. :-D >Someone said that the WCCC is more or less a lottery. >OK, than can someone can explaing why since 1996 only Junior and Shredder won? I just threw a dice 5 times and came up with the numbers 3, 6, 1, 5 and 6. Someone said it's random numbers but I say it's not. It's 3, 6, 1, 5 and 6. Proof? I just did it! Sargon PS. Given the percentages above, it's highly unlikely, that only Junior and Shredder would win in 7 WCCC-tournaments. But envertheless they did. In a way, you just proved it _is_ a lottery. :)
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