Author: Ricardo Gibert
Date: 10:56:30 01/04/04
Go up one level in this thread
On January 04, 2004 at 13:01:59, Mike Byrne wrote: >>On January 04, 2004 at 12:40:00, Ricardo Gibert wrote: ><snip> >>>On January 04, 2004 at 12:29:15, Mark Young wrote: >> >>> >>>If you concede this point you don't understand. There is no magic number like >>>200 or 2000. The score must be considered. Here is an example: >>> >>>A score of 17 - 3 in a 20 game match has a certainty of over 99% that the winner >>>of the match is stronger then the loser. >>> >>>A 100 game match ending 55 - 45 only has a 81% chance that the winner of the >>>match is the stronger program. >>> >>>A 200 game match ending 106 - 94 only has a 78 % chance that the winner is >>>stronger then the loser. >> >> >>Nothing you have said is really correct because you have ignored the significant >>effect of draws in a match. >> >> > >Statistically Mark is 100% correct. When you draw a game , the impact of that >counts in your rating. So I am not sure what you are saying. Wins, Losses , >Draws - they all count for statiscal purposes - Because ther are significant. >Perhaps you misunderstood Mark - his 17-3 score above could be 14+ 0- 6= or 17+ >3- 0= , he's just stating the score in point format - 1 point for a win, 1/2 >poing for a draw and 1 point for a loss. So perhaps this was just a >misunderstanding. Have look at my response to Peter Berger: http://www.talkchess.com/forums/1/message.html?340175
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