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Subject: Re: There'll be inflation in FIDE rating.

Author: O. Veli

Date: 11:42:18 01/10/04

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On January 10, 2004 at 09:08:58, TEERAPONG TOVIRAT wrote:

>If an unrated player scores 0 or 0.5 in an event, his score and that of his
>opponents
>against him are disregarded.
>//
>
>I think this will cause inflation in the system. Let's suppose the situation.
>
>Situation A ,Mr.X play 12 games in one tournament against  2100 players.
>The result is
>
>1 1 1   0 0 1   0 0 0   1 1 0   =  6/12  So,his rating would be 2100.
>
>Situation B, let's consider the result as 4 tournaments. According to new rule,
>FIDE would ignore the result from third tournament because,he can't get a
>single win . So,FIDE would calculate his rating as if he score 6/9 against 2100.
>His rating would be 2200+ instead of 2100. This will finally cause inflation in
>the
>system. Because,FIDE selectively ignore bad results. I predict that we'll soon
>see the effect.  I've no idea why FIDE do this. First,they down rating floor to
>1800 then they let players  manipulate their own ratings.Rating is like

  The rating floor will be lowered down to 1000! within a couple of years. The
main idea is to increase the rating revenue that FIDE receives from the national
federations.

  If everything goes according to FIDE's plans, everyone will have a FIDE
rating. The problem is that most players under 2200 play the same players in the
same region. So the ratings points won/lost are transfered among the same
players. This would result in players from different regions that have same
rating will differ in player strength. A player with 1500 from country A will be
stronger that from a player with 1500 from country B. This will kill the meaning
of rating.

  IIRC Prof. Elo has warned about this before. The prestige of FIDE rating has
already been devalued after the floor was lowered from 2200. And any rating
below 2200 will have no scientific value to it, as the system is used
improperly. I do not think this will effect higher rated players, since their
pool will not differ by the addition of new players with lower ratings.

  After the new time control, the abuse of rating system is the second
improvement that the current incompetent FIDE officials have brought to chess.



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