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Subject: Re: Top Ten in Blitz Follow up

Author: Ricardo Gibert

Date: 18:51:45 01/19/04

Go up one level in this thread


On January 19, 2004 at 21:35:00, Ed Panek wrote:

>On January 19, 2004 at 18:05:35, Christophe Theron wrote:
>
>>On January 19, 2004 at 16:47:04, Paul Doire wrote:
>>
>>>On January 19, 2004 at 16:26:57, Paul Doire wrote:
>>>
>>>>PIII 450, WINSE, 256 RAM
>>>>CHESSBASE GUI, 32 MB RAM HASH,
>>>>PONDER OFF, FRITZ7.CTG
>>>>
>>>>Fritz book used for its size other tourneys utilized smaller
>>>>higher ELO books.
>>>>Also Shredder 704 was using special settings Haddad 1.2DP5,
>>>>which I obtained from
>>>>http://members.lycos.co.uk/chesslovers/zied/
>>>>
>>>>I also ran identical tourney on Celeron 542 Mhz
>>>>with Shredder at default. Post to follow.
>>>>
>>>>Ratings were assigned using Fritz 8 at 2753 per SSDF.
>>>>
>>>>Top Ten SSDF, Fritz7ctg, Shr1.2DP5 ,5mi  2004
>>>>
>>>>                                  1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   0
>>>>1   Chess Tiger 15.0  2771    +3  *** ½1½ 11½ ½½½ 01½ 0½½ ½11 10½ 101 110
>>>>16.5/27  219.50
>>>>2   Fritz 8           2771    +3  ½0½ *** 0½1 11½ 1½½ ½½0 111 ½½0 11½ 110
>>>>16.5/27  213.25
>>>>3   Deep Fritz 8      2771    +3  00½ 1½0 *** 0½½ ½10 11½ 111 ½11 101 101
>>>>16.5/27  207.75
>>>>4   Ruffian 2.0.0     2714     0  ½½½ 00½ 1½½ *** ½00 ½½1 ½½0 ½11 ½11 ½01
>>>>14.0/27
>>>>5   Shredder 7.04     2703     0  10½ 0½½ ½01 ½11 *** ½01 ½01 ½10 0½½ ½10
>>>>13.5/27
>>>>6   Deep Fritz 7      2681    -1  1½½ ½½1 00½ ½½0 ½10 *** 00½ ½½½ ½½1 ½½½
>>>>12.5/27  169.75
>>>>7   Junior 8          2681    -1  ½00 000 000 ½½1 ½10 11½ *** 0½1 ½½½ 111
>>>>12.5/27  153.00
>>>>8   Hiarcs 9          2658    -1  01½ ½½1 ½00 ½00 ½01 ½½½ 1½0 *** 001 ½½½
>>>>11.5/27
>>>>9   Deep Junior 8     2647    -2  010 00½ 010 ½00 1½½ ½½0 ½½½ 110 *** ½01
>>>>11.0/27
>>>>10  The King 3.23     2635    -2  001 001 010 ½10 ½01 ½½½ 000 ½½½ ½10 ***
>>>>10.5/27
>>>>
>>>>Average elo: 2703 <=> Category: 19
>>>>gm = 9.72 m = 4.32
>>>
>>>Second tournament
>>>Shredder 704 default
>>>Ratings were assigned using Fritz 8 at 2753 per SSDF.
>>>
>>>Note Elo top to bottom difference 136 1st tournament
>>>Note Elo top to bottom difference 120 2nd tournament
>>>
>>>Top Ten SSDF, Fritz7ctg,ShredDef, 5min-  2004
>>>
>>>Top Ten SSDF, Fritz7ctg,ShredDef, 5min-  2004
>>>
>>>                                  1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   0
>>>1   Shredder 7.04     2764    +2  *** ½½1 ½½1 11½ 0½½ 10½ ½½½ ½01 11½ 0½1
>>>16.0/27
>>>2   Fritz 8           2753    +1  ½½0 *** 10½ 111 ½11 0½0 010 ½11 1½½ 01½
>>>15.5/27  205.00
>>>3   Hiarcs 9          2753    +1  ½½0 01½ *** ½10 ½½½ 111 ½½0 0½1 110 ½11
>>>15.5/27  201.25
>>>4   Chess Tiger 15.0  2742     0  00½ 000 ½01 *** ½1½ ½½½ 1½1 01½ 111 11½
>>>15.0/27
>>>5   Deep Fritz 8      2730    +1  1½½ ½00 ½½½ ½0½ *** ½½1 10½ 11½ 0½1 101
>>>14.5/27
>>>6   Junior 8          2708     0  01½ 1½1 000 ½½½ ½½0 *** ½1½ 111 10½ 0½0
>>>13.5/27
>>>7   Deep Junior 8     2686    -1  ½½½ 101 ½½1 0½0 01½ ½0½ *** 01½ 00½ 101
>>>12.5/27
>>>8   Deep Fritz 7      2652    -2  ½10 ½00 1½0 10½ 00½ 000 10½ *** ½0½ 111
>>>11.0/27  146.00
>>>9   Ruffian 2.0.0     2652    -2  00½ 0½½ 001 000 1½0 01½ 11½ ½1½ *** ½0½
>>>11.0/27  144.75
>>>10  The King 3.23     2640    -2  1½0 10½ ½00 00½ 010 1½1 010 000 ½1½ ***
>>>10.5/27
>>>
>>>Average elo: 2708 <=> Category: 19
>>>gm = 9.72 m = 4.32
>>>
>>>Looks like Shredder 7.04 Default is stronger per this group of games.
>>
>>
>>
>>No, you cannot conclude that. You do not have enough games for any statistical
>>evidence.
>>
>>
>>
>>    Christophe
>
>
>Statistically speaking he can make any conclusion he wishes..its just that his
>degree of confidence will be lower. :-)
>
>Ed

I usually refrain from pointing such things. The level of understanding
mathematical topics is not high here and pointing such things out does not seem
to remedy the situation.

For a very similar example to yours, see:

http://www.talkchess.com/forums/1/message.html?343165

I usually prefer to just sit back and chuckle. :-)




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