Author: Bruce Cleaver
Date: 11:43:10 01/23/04
Go up one level in this thread
The real weakness here is accepting the 95% certainty claim. It's traditional, and makes some kind of sense, but when you get down to it there is also an element of arbitrariness. If you are satisfied with a 90% certainty, or perhaps +/- 1.5 sigma, or whatever, the scores that will impress you (out of 300 games) change. There are also times when 95% isn't good enough, and the claim has to be much tighter.
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