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Subject: Re: CCT6 Bets

Author: Robert Hyatt

Date: 12:40:34 01/31/04

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On January 31, 2004 at 14:00:54, David Dahlem wrote:

>On January 31, 2004 at 13:17:13, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>
>>On January 31, 2004 at 11:45:38, David Dahlem wrote:
>>
>>>On January 31, 2004 at 09:49:59, Thao Tak-Sen wrote:
>>>
>>>>On January 31, 2004 at 08:43:37, Rolf Tueschen wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>Some minutes before the opening of this year's biggest tournament I want to ask
>>>>>you for your statements. If you can give your opinion about the three first
>>>>>incoming programs. Just like I do it here:
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>1. JUNIOR
>>>>>
>>>>>2. CRAFTY
>>>>>
>>>>>3. ?
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>Rolf
>>>>
>>>>1.Hiarcs
>>>>2.Rebel
>>>>3.Ruffian
>>>>4.Junior
>>>>5.crafty
>>>>6.Yace
>>>>7.Quark
>>>>8.Falcon
>>>>9.GLC
>>>>10.Pepito
>>>
>>>In a 9 round swiss with 54 entries, are not only the first four and last four
>>>finishers determined to be accurate? Or do i stand corrected?
>>>
>>>Regards
>>>Dave
>>
>>Define "accurate".  you need 6 rounds for a good 1st place, 9 rounds should get
>>a pretty accurate view of the first 16 places, but "accurate" is a overused word
>>in a Swiss of course...
>
>There was a thread about this topic not too long ago. Someone posted, if my
>memory is correct it was you, that after determining the number of rounds to get
>a good 1st place, adding 1 additional round was needed for each additional
>placement. Is this correct?
>
>Regards
>Dave


Not exactly, no.  each additional round provides _more_ than one additional
place of "accuracy".  IE worst case should have 9 rounds giving the first 8
places to high levels of confidence..



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