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Subject: Re: Crafty Strong I.M. at standard?

Author: Dann Corbit

Date: 00:29:27 12/04/98

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Chess is exponential.  Same for standard players as for computers.  An IM is
exponentially weaker than a GM.  I think Crafty probably is at IM strength.  As
to whether programs are GM strength?  I think a couple hundred Rebel 10 games
against GM's would answer that question.  The results against Anand (albeit at
time controls *totally* in favor of the computer) show me that computers are
making enormous strides.  I suspect that the hybrid technology that results from
Schroder/Theron will be GM strength, if combined with the right openings
database and endgame tables.

It is only a matter of time before computers are *clearly* the best players in
the world.  Why should that be horrible?  We already know they can beat our
pants off in factoring large numbers or multiplying a million numbers together.

I believe that computers will continue to advance exponentially and will have
human brainpower in the near future.  OTOH, circuits that complex will have
failures.  Will they be more reliable than the human brain?  I doubt it.  So
there may be some homeostasis.  There may also be a breakthrough in the way
*humans* play chess.  The way that chess [cough] database systems are studied
now is a poor joke.



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