Author: Dr. Oliver Brausch
Date: 05:26:57 02/13/04
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On February 12, 2004 at 15:21:58, Dann Corbit wrote: >>Some people say that no Go program will be stronger than the best humans for at >>least another century, if ever! Today's best Go programs are far weaker than >>any Go professional. > >Hogwash. Computers will have more compute power than the human brain long >before a century passes. > I am not so sure about this, Dann. I have not played Go a lot, but it is really a very stratetical game. Chess is both stratetical and tactical, which is the fascinating point of chess. Computers are strong at tactics but still very, very weak at stratetics. And what will be in 100 years? Computer 10^6 times faster than now, even perhaps 10^9??? yes, but it will be a finite number. So we got some plies deeper on Go, some more plies on chess. But the human brain with stratetic power thinks even much deeper than that will be. They have a feeling for the position, for the pattern, what computers are missing. Perhaps some day there will be Artificial Integences with that skill, but I am not sure if they can be called Computers then. Intersting point to that: It was almost 10 years ago, when the best Chess computers started to beat GMs. So all people predicted that in 10 years computers will be unbeatable by human. And what is now? Computers 100 times faster still are beaten by humans. And I predict something: In 10 years they still will be beaten by humans! (not by me, btw...) I think there is a bifurcation: Or you solve a game (like checkers), then the computer is unbeatable or the computer will never be unbeatable. Dr. Oliver Brausch
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