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Subject: Re: Ke3 seems the right move

Author: Uri Blass

Date: 11:13:54 02/16/04

Go up one level in this thread


On February 16, 2004 at 05:47:07, Uri Blass wrote:

>On February 16, 2004 at 02:20:38, Kurt Utzinger wrote:
>
>>On February 15, 2004 at 15:47:07, Jaime Benito de Valle Ruiz wrote:
>>
>>>On February 15, 2004 at 14:42:04, Kurt Utzinger wrote:
>>>
>>>>"seems" is the wrong expression here. The move Ke3 is
>>>>indeed an easy win for White.
>>>>Kurt
>>>
>>>Come on, don't be so picky!. I've spent hours studying this position by using
>>>backwards analysis with a few programs, and finally leaving Shredder for
>>>hours... getting the same answer again and again. I just wouldn't bet my life on
>>>it, but I'm almost as sure as you are.
>>>Regards,
>>>
>>>  Jaime
>>
>>
>>     Hi Jaime
>>     This was a position I didn't even use a PC to come within
>>     20 seconds to the right conclusion. It's a simple pawn ending
>>     of the type "Zugzwang".
>>     Kurt
>
>It is not a simple pawn endgame and I guess that you are simply a very strong
>chess player(at least master level) at least if we talk about pawn endgames.
>
>The player with the white pieces has Fide rating of 2214 and Israeli rating of
>2267 amd he did not find that Ke4 is winning during the game and even did not
>find it in analysis after the game(he felt that he missed a win in the pawn
>endgame but did not know exactly in what position it happened and after some
>analysis he came to the conclusion that he probably did not evaluate correctly
>the pawn endgame).
>
>Time control was 90 minutes per game+30 seconds per move.
>
>Uri

I also think that black blundered in the game by 39...a5

please correct me if I am wrong but it seems based on computer analysis that
39...Kd7 is a draw

Yace that already learned that 39...a5 is bad
fails high on 39...Kd7 at depth 25

New game - Yace Paderborn
[D]8/8/pp2k2p/4p3/1PP3p1/P2K2P1/7P/8 b - c3 0 1

Analysis by Yace Paderborn:

39...h5
  =  (-0.20)   Depth: 1   00:00:00
39...h5
  =  (-0.20)   Depth: 1   00:00:00
39...h5 40.Ke4
  =  (0.00)   Depth: 2   00:00:00
39...Kf5 40.h4
  =  (-0.03)   Depth: 2   00:00:00
39...Kf5 40.h4
  =  (-0.03)   Depth: 2   00:00:00
39...Kf5 40.h4
  =  (-0.03)   Depth: 2   00:00:00
39...Kf5 40.c5 e4+ 41.Kd4
  =  (-0.05)   Depth: 3   00:00:00
39...Kf5 40.c5 e4+ 41.Kd4
  =  (-0.05)   Depth: 3   00:00:00
39...Kf5 40.c5 e4+ 41.Kd4
  =  (-0.05)   Depth: 4   00:00:00
39...Kf5 40.c5 e4+ 41.Kd4
  =  (-0.05)   Depth: 4   00:00:00
39...Kf5 40.c5 e4+ 41.Kd4 bxc5+ 42.bxc5
  =  (0.06)   Depth: 5   00:00:00
39...h5 40.Ke4 Kd6 41.a4 a5 42.bxa5 bxa5
  =  (0.00)   Depth: 5   00:00:00
39...h5 40.Ke4 Kd6 41.a4 a5 42.bxa5 bxa5
  =  (0.00)   Depth: 5   00:00:00
39...h5 40.Ke4 Kd6 41.a4 a5 42.bxa5 bxa5
  =  (0.00)   Depth: 5   00:00:00
39...h5 40.Ke4 Kd6 41.Kf5 b5 42.c5+ Kd5
  ²  (0.32)   Depth: 6/8   00:00:00  3kN
39...Kf5 40.c5 e4+ 41.Kd4 bxc5+ 42.bxc5
  =  (0.06)   Depth: 6/8   00:00:00  4kN
39...Kf5 40.c5 bxc5 41.bxc5 e4+ 42.Kd4 h5
  =  (-0.02)   Depth: 6/8   00:00:00  5kN
39...Kf5 40.c5 bxc5 41.bxc5 e4+ 42.Kd4 h5
  =  (-0.02)   Depth: 6/10   00:00:00  6kN
39...Kf5 40.c5 bxc5 41.bxc5 e4+ 42.Kd4 h5 43.c6
  =  (0.23)   Depth: 7/10   00:00:00  10kN
39...b5 40.c5 Kd5 41.Kd2 h5 42.Ke3 a5
  =  (0.22)   Depth: 7/10   00:00:00  14kN
39...b5 40.c5 Kd5 41.Kd2 h5 42.Ke3 a5
  =  (0.22)   Depth: 7/10   00:00:00  15kN
39...Ke7 40.a4 Kd6 41.b5 axb5 42.Ke2 Kc6 43.cxb5+ Kc7
  =  (0.21)   Depth: 7/12   00:00:00  18kN
39...Ke7 40.c5 bxc5 41.bxc5 Kd7 42.Kc4 e4 43.Kd4
  =  (0.17)   Depth: 7/12   00:00:01  21kN
39...Kd7 40.c5 bxc5 41.bxc5 h5 42.a4 Kc6 43.h4
  =  (0.15)   Depth: 7/12   00:00:01  24kN
39...Kd7 40.Ke4 Kd6 41.Kf5 h5 42.Ke4 Ke6 43.c5 bxc5 44.bxc5
  =  (0.20)   Depth: 7/12   00:00:01  25kN
39...Ke7 40.c5 bxc5 41.bxc5 Kd7 42.Kc4 e4 43.Kd4
  =  (0.17)   Depth: 7/12   00:00:01  25kN
39...Ke7 40.c5 bxc5 41.bxc5 Kd7 42.Kc4 e4 43.Kd4
  =  (0.17)   Depth: 7/12   00:00:01  25kN
39...Ke7 40.Ke4 Kd6 41.Kf5 h5 42.Ke4 Ke6 43.Ke3 Kd6 44.Ke4 Ke6 45.Ke3 Kd6 46.Ke4
  =  (0.20)   Depth: 8/12   00:00:01  37kN
39...Ke7 40.Ke4 Kd6 41.Kf5 h5 42.Ke4 Ke6 43.Ke3 Kd6 44.Ke4 Ke6 45.Ke3 Kd6 46.Ke4
  =  (0.20)   Depth: 8/17   00:00:01  46kN
39...Ke7 40.Ke4 Ke6 41.c5 b5 42.Ke3 Kd5 43.Kd3 h5
  ²  (0.27)   Depth: 9/17   00:00:01  66kN
39...b5 40.a4 bxa4 41.Kd2 Kd7 42.Kc2 Kc6 43.Kb2 a3+ 44.Kxa3
  =  (0.23)   Depth: 9/17   00:00:01  77kN
39...b5 40.c5 Kd5 41.Ke2 a5 42.bxa5 Kxc5 43.Ke3 Kd5 44.a6
  =  (0.16)   Depth: 9/17   00:00:01  85kN
39...h5 40.Ke4 Kd6 41.Ke3 b5 42.c5+ Kd5 43.Ke2 a5 44.Ke3 a4
  =  (0.15)   Depth: 9/17   00:00:01  109kN
39...h5 40.Ke4 Kd6 41.a4 a5 42.c5+ bxc5 43.bxa5 h4 44.gxh4
  =  (0.02)   Depth: 9/17   00:00:01  116kN
39...h5 40.Ke4 Kd6 41.a4 a5 42.c5+ bxc5 43.bxa5 h4 44.gxh4
  =  (0.02)   Depth: 9/17   00:00:01  125kN
39...h5 40.Ke4 Kd6 41.Kf5 e4 42.Kxe4 Kd7 43.c5 Kc7 44.a4 bxc5
  ²  (0.42)   Depth: 10/17   00:00:01  142kN
39...h5 40.Ke4 Kf6 41.Kd5 Kf5 42.Kc6 a5 43.b5 e4 44.Kxb6
  ±  (0.80)   Depth: 10/17   00:00:01  182kN
39...b5 40.Kc3 bxc4 41.a4 e4 42.Kxc4 Kf6 43.Kd4 Kf5 44.Kd5 a5 45.Kd4 e3 46.Kxe3
axb4
  ±  (0.74)   Depth: 10/17   00:00:02  207kN
39...b5 40.c5 Kd5 41.Ke3 h5 42.Kd3 a5 43.Ke3 a4 44.h4
  ²  (0.29)   Depth: 10/17   00:00:02  232kN
39...b5 40.c5 Kd5 41.Ke3 h5 42.Kd3 a5 43.Ke3 a4 44.h4
  ²  (0.29)   Depth: 10/19   00:00:02  271kN
39...b5 40.c5 Kf5 41.Ke3 Kf6 42.Ke2 Ke7 43.Kd2 Ke6 44.Kc3 Kd5 45.Kb2 e4 46.Kc1
a5 47.bxa5 Kxc5 48.a6 Kb6 49.Kd2
  ²  (0.27)   Depth: 11/19   00:00:02  392kN
39...Ke7 40.Ke3 b5 41.Ke4 bxc4 42.Kf5 h5 43.Kg5 Ke6 44.Kxh5 a5 45.Kxg4
  ²  (0.26)   Depth: 11/21   00:00:02  480kN
39...Ke7 40.Ke3 b5 41.c5 Kd7 42.Ke2 Ke7 43.Kd2 Ke6 44.Kd3 Kf5 45.Ke3 Kf6 46.Ke2
e4 47.Kd2 Ke6 48.Kc2 Kd5 49.Kc1 a5 50.bxa5 Kxc5 51.a6 Kb6 52.Kd2
  =  (0.24)   Depth: 11/21   00:00:02  491kN
39...Kd7 40.Ke4 Ke6 41.Ke3 Kd7 42.b5 a5 43.Ke4 Ke6 44.c5 bxc5 45.b6 Kd6 46.b7
Kc7 47.a4
  =  (0.23)   Depth: 11/21   00:00:02  542kN
39...Kd7 40.Ke4 Ke6 41.c5 bxc5 42.bxc5 a5 43.a4 h5 44.c6 Kd6 45.h4 Kxc6
  =  (0.09)   Depth: 11/21   00:00:02  565kN
39...Kd7 40.Ke4 Ke6 41.c5 bxc5 42.bxc5 a5 43.a4 h5 44.c6 Kd6 45.h4 Kxc6
  =  (0.09)   Depth: 11/21   00:00:02  613kN
39...Kd7 40.Ke4 Ke6 41.a4 h5 42.Ke3 a5 43.c5 bxc5 44.bxa5 Kd5 45.a6 Kc6 46.a7
Kb7 47.Ke4 Kxa7 48.Kxe5
  =  (0.06)   Depth: 12/21   00:00:02  817kN
39...Kd7 40.Ke4 Ke6 41.a4 h5 42.Ke3 a5 43.c5 bxc5 44.bxa5 Kd5 45.a6 Kc6 46.a7
Kb7 47.Ke4 Kxa7 48.Kxe5
  =  (0.06)   Depth: 12/22   00:00:03  1185kN
39...Kd7 40.Ke4 Ke6 41.c5 bxc5 42.bxc5 a5 43.c6 Kd6 44.c7 Kxc7 45.Kxe5 a4 46.Kd5
Kd7 47.h4
  =  (0.02)   Depth: 13/23   00:00:04  1550kN
39...Kd7 40.Ke4 Ke6 41.c5 bxc5 42.bxc5 a5 43.c6 Kd6 44.c7 Kxc7 45.Kxe5 a4 46.Kd5
Kd7 47.h4
  =  (0.02)   Depth: 13/23   00:00:05  1791kN
39...Kd7 40.Ke4 Ke6 41.c5 Kf6 42.Ke3 bxc5 43.bxc5 e4 44.Kxe4 Ke6 45.a4 Ke7 46.c6
Ke6 47.c7 Kd7 48.c8Q+ Kxc8 49.h4
  ²  (0.42)   Depth: 14/23   00:00:05  1903kN
39...Kd7 40.Ke4 Kd6 41.Kf5 h5 42.Kg5 Ke6 43.Kxh5 Kf5 44.c5 bxc5 45.bxc5 e4 46.c6
e3
  ±  (1.04)   Depth: 14/24   00:00:07  2787kN
39...b5 40.c5 Kd5 41.Ke3 h5 42.Kd3 a5 43.Kc3 e4 44.c6 Kxc6 45.bxa5 h4 46.gxh4
Kd6
  ±  (1.03)   Depth: 14/24   00:00:08  3433kN
39...b5 40.c5 Kd5 41.Ke3 Ke6 42.Ke4 h5 43.Ke3 Ke7 44.Kd2 Ke6 45.Ke2 Kd7 46.Ke3
Ke7 47.Kd2 Ke6 48.Ke2 Kd7 49.Ke3 Ke7
  ²  (0.42)   Depth: 14/24   00:00:09  3651kN
39...b5 40.c5 Kd5 41.Ke3 Ke6 42.Ke4 h5 43.Ke3 Ke7 44.Kd2 Ke6 45.Ke2 Kd7 46.Ke3
Ke7 47.Kd2 Ke6 48.Ke2 Kd7 49.Ke3 Ke7
  ²  (0.42)   Depth: 14/25   00:00:09  4004kN
39...b5 40.c5 Kd5 41.Ke3 Ke6 42.Ke4 h5 43.Ke3 Ke7 44.Kd2 Ke6 45.Ke1 Kd5 46.Ke2
Ke6
  ²  (0.39)   Depth: 15/25   00:00:11  4806kN
39...b5 40.c5 Kd5 41.Ke3 Ke6 42.Ke4 h5 43.Ke3 Ke7 44.Kd2 Ke6 45.Ke1 Kd5 46.Ke2
Ke6
  ²  (0.39)   Depth: 15/26   00:00:13  5679kN
39...b5 40.c5 Kd5 41.Ke3 Ke6 42.Ke4 h5 43.Ke3 Ke7 44.Kd2 Ke6 45.Kd1 Ke7 46.Kc2
e4 47.Kd2
  ²  (0.40)   Depth: 16/26   00:00:16  7124kN
39...b5 40.c5 Kd5 41.Ke3 Ke6 42.Ke4 h5 43.Ke3 Ke7 44.Kd2 Ke6 45.Kd1 Ke7 46.Kc2
e4 47.Kd2
  ²  (0.40)   Depth: 16/28   00:00:19  8459kN
39...b5 40.c5 Kd5 41.Ke3 Ke6 42.Ke4 h5 43.c6 Kd6 44.c7 Kxc7 45.Kxe5 Kb7 46.Kf4
Kc6 47.Kg5 Kd6 48.Kxh5 a5
  ±  (0.80)   Depth: 17/29   00:00:21  9310kN
39...b5 40.c5 Kd5 41.Ke3 Ke6 42.Ke4 h5 43.c6 Kd6 44.c7 Kxc7 45.Kxe5 Kc6 46.Kf5
Kd5 47.Kg5 Ke4 48.Kxh5 Kf3
  ±  (0.86)   Depth: 17/29   00:00:25  11391kN
39...b5 40.c5 Kd5 41.Ke3 Ke6 42.Ke4 h5 43.c6 Kd6 44.c7 Kxc7 45.Kxe5 Kc6 46.Kf5
Kd5 47.Kg5 Ke4 48.Kxh5 Kf3
  ±  (0.86)   Depth: 17/29   00:00:30  13813kN
39...b5 40.c5 Kd5 41.Ke3 e4 42.Kf4 Kd4 43.c6 e3 44.c7 e2 45.c8Q e1Q 46.Qc5+ Kd3
47.Qd6+ Kc4 48.Qxa6 Qe2 49.Qc8+ Kb3 50.Qxg4 Qxh2 51.Qf3+ Kb2
  ±  (0.98)   Depth: 18/32   00:00:43  19366kN
39...Kd7 40.Ke4 Ke6 41.c5 bxc5 42.bxc5 h5 43.c6 Kd6 44.c7 Kxc7 45.Kxe5 Kc6
46.Kf5 Kd5 47.Kg5 Ke4 48.a4 Kf3 49.Kg6 Ke3 50.Kxh5
  ±  (0.97)   Depth: 18/32   00:01:00  27367kN
39...Kd7 40.Ke4 Ke6 41.c5 h5 42.cxb6 h4 43.gxh4 a5 44.bxa5 Kd6 45.b7 g3 46.b8Q+
Ke6
  ±  (0.97)   Depth: 18/32   00:01:00  27540kN
39...Kd7 40.Ke4 Ke6 41.c5 h5 42.cxb6 h4 43.gxh4 a5 44.bxa5 Kd6 45.b7 g3 46.b8Q+
Ke6
  ±  (0.97)   Depth: 18/32   00:01:10  31896kN
39...Kd7 40.Ke4 Ke6 41.c5 h5 42.cxb6 h4 43.gxh4 Kd7 44.b7 g3 45.b8Q gxh2 46.Kxe5
h1Q 47.Qa7+ Kc8
  ±  (1.37)   Depth: 19/32   00:01:16  35019kN
39...Kd7 40.Ke4 Kd6 41.Kf5 h5 42.Kg5 e4 43.a4 e3 44.Kh6 e2 45.a5 e1Q 46.axb6
  ±  (1.37)   Depth: 19/32   00:01:39  45813kN
39...b5 40.c5 Kd5 41.Ke3 e4 42.Kf4 Kd4 43.c6 e3 44.c7 e2 45.c8Q e1Q 46.Qc5+ Kd3
47.Qd6+ Kc4 48.Qxa6 Qe2 49.Qc8+ Kb3 50.h3 gxh3 51.g4
  ±  (1.36)   Depth: 19/32   00:01:54  52960kN
39...b5 40.c5 Kd5 41.Ke3 e4 42.Kf4 Kd4 43.c6 e3 44.c7 e2 45.c8Q e1Q 46.Qc5+ Kd3
47.Kxg4 Qe4+ 48.Kh3 Qe6+ 49.g4 Ke2 50.Qc2+ Ke3 51.Kh4 Qd5
  ±  (0.96)   Depth: 19/33   00:02:04  57766kN
39...b5 40.c5 Kd5 41.Ke3 e4 42.Kf4 Kd4 43.c6 e3 44.c7 e2 45.c8Q e1Q 46.Qc5+ Kd3
47.Kxg4 Qe4+ 48.Kh3 Qe6+ 49.g4 Ke2 50.Qc2+ Ke3 51.Kh4 Qd5
  ±  (0.96)   Depth: 19/33   00:02:28  67677kN
39...b5 40.c5 Kd7 41.Ke3 Ke7 42.c6 Ke6 43.c7 Kd7 44.c8Q+ Kxc8 45.Ke4 Kb7 46.Kf5
  ±  (0.95)   Depth: 20/34   00:03:17  89972kN
39...b5 40.c5 Kd7 41.Ke3 Ke7 42.c6 Ke6 43.c7 Kd7 44.c8Q+ Kxc8 45.Ke4 Kb7 46.Kf5
  ±  (0.95)   Depth: 20/34   00:03:52  105989kN
39...b5 40.c5 Ke7 41.Ke3 Kd7 42.Ke4 Ke6 43.c6 Kd6 44.c7 Kxc7 45.Kxe5 Kb7 46.Kf4
Kc6 47.Ke4 Kd6 48.Kd3 Kd5 49.Kc3 h5 50.Kb3 Ke6
  ±  (0.90)   Depth: 21/38   00:06:28  177042kN
39...b5 40.c5 Ke7 41.Ke3 Kd7 42.Ke4 Ke6 43.c6 Kd6 44.c7 Kxc7 45.Kxe5 Kb7 46.Kf4
Kc6 47.Ke4 Kd6 48.Kd3 Kd5 49.Kc3 h5 50.Kb3 Ke6
  ±  (0.90)   Depth: 21/38   00:07:27  203904kN
39...b5 40.c5 Ke7 41.Ke3 Kd7 42.Ke4 Ke6 43.c6 Kd6 44.c7 Kxc7 45.Kxe5 Kc6 46.Ke6
a5 47.bxa5 Kc7 48.a6 h5
  ±  (0.90)   Depth: 22/38   00:10:14  281714kN
39...b5 40.c5 Ke7 41.Ke3 Kd7 42.Ke4 Ke6 43.c6 Kd6 44.c7 Kxc7 45.Kxe5 Kc6 46.Ke6
a5 47.bxa5 Kc7 48.a6 h5 49.a7 Kb7 50.Kf5 Kxa7 51.Kg5
  ±  (0.90)   Depth: 22/38   00:12:26  340932kN
39...b5 40.c5 Ke7 41.c6 Ke6 42.c7 Kd7 43.Ke4 Kc8 44.Kxe5 Kxc7
  ±  (1.28)   Depth: 23/40   00:17:08  468539kN
39...Kd7 40.Ke4 Ke6 41.c5 bxc5 42.bxc5 a5 43.c6 Kd6 44.c7 Kxc7 45.Kxe5 Kc6
46.Kf5 Kc5 47.Kxg4 Kc4 48.h4 Kb3 49.Kh5
  ±  (1.27)   Depth: 23/40   00:23:20  641659kN
39...Kd7 40.Ke4 Ke6 41.c5 bxc5 42.bxc5 a5 43.c6 Kd6 44.c7 Kxc7 45.Kxe5 Kc6
46.Kf5 Kb5 47.Kxg4 Ka4 48.Kf5 Kxa3 49.Kg6 a4 50.h4 Kb3 51.Kxh6 a3
  ±  (0.92)   Depth: 23/40   00:27:04  745627kN
39...Kd7 40.Ke4 Ke6 41.c5 bxc5 42.bxc5 a5 43.c6 Kd6 44.c7 Kxc7 45.Kxe5 Kc6
46.Kf5 Kb5 47.Kxg4 Ka4 48.Kf5 Kxa3 49.Kg6 a4 50.h4 Kb3 51.Kxh6 a3
  ±  (0.92)   Depth: 23/40   00:31:22  856399kN
39...Kd7 40.Ke4 Ke6 41.Ke3 Kd7 42.Kd3 Kd6 43.Ke4 Ke6 44.Ke3 Kd7 45.Kd3 Kd6
46.Ke4 Ke6
  ±  (0.92)   Depth: 24/40   00:41:51  1146716kN
39...Kd7 40.Ke4 Ke6 41.Ke3 Kd7 42.Kd3 Kd6 43.Ke4 Ke6 44.Ke3 Kd7 45.Kd3 Kd6
46.Ke4 Ke6
  ±  (0.92)   Depth: 24/41   00:56:02  1498232kN
39...Kd7 40.Ke4 Ke6 41.Ke3 Kd6 42.c5+ bxc5 43.bxc5+ Kxc5 44.Ke4 h5 45.Kxe5 Kc4
46.a4 Kc3 47.a5 Kb3 48.Kf5 Ka4 49.Kf4 Kxa5 50.Ke3 Kb4
  ²  (0.52)   Depth: 25/42   01:12:17  1935770kN

(Blass, Tel-Aviv 16.02.2004)


Uri



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