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Subject: Re: An Interesting Experiment

Author: Bob Durrett

Date: 12:11:57 02/22/04

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On February 22, 2004 at 13:59:23, Christophe Theron wrote:

>On February 22, 2004 at 12:14:55, Bob Durrett wrote:
>
>>
>>With absolute correct play on both sides, is the outcome draw or win?  That is
>>the question we cannot answer now, with absolute certainty.
>>
>>Here is an experiment which could be done.  The participants could be
>>all-silicon or a mix of silocon and human.
>>
>>Write a computer program [!!!] to do take-backs automatically.
>>
>>In the beginning, start with a game which looks reasonably free of obvious
>>mistakes.  This game might be taken from human-human, human-silicon, or
>>silicon-silicon praxis.
>>
>>Then just let the computers run, using very high search depths, a very strong
>>engine or engines, run on an extremely fast computer, and give it a lot of time.
>>
>>After each game is completed, have the machine(s) programmed to go into
>>post-mortem analysis mode and let it/them find a candidate improvement.  Then
>>make the indicated "take-back" and let it run again.
>>
>>This whole thing should be fully automated. [I'm not sure how to automate the
>>humans.]
>>
>>Ideally, many such computers should be running in parallel but with different
>>initial games.
>>
>>There is a requirement to achieve stability so that the thing doesn't go into
>>some sort of loop revisiting the same lines over and over again.
>>
>>Give it a few years.
>>
>>Repeat this experiment a few thousand times [preferably run in parallel] to gain
>>confidence in the findings.
>>
>>Conceptually easy, except for the stability part.  Might cost a few $$$$.
>>
>>Bob D.
>
>
>
>Conceptually, an alpha-beta search is doing several thousands takebacks per
>second. Your experiment looks like a very long alpha-beta search with a very
>selective algorithm.
>
>It would give the same result: a very deep search full of holes, proving
>nothing.
>
>
>
>    Christophe

It would "prove nothing" in the sense of deductive logic but would provide
additional data to improve estimates and confidence in a statistical sense.

What we are talking about is hypothesis testing.  Statistics is well suited to
that purpose.

The alpha-beta algorithm is a brainless process.  The process discussed offers
plenty of opportunity for human inputs.  Not brainless at all.

I do not see how you can be sure the product would resemble swiss cheese.  It
would be difficult to prove that, too.

Bob D.



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