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Subject: Re: Ruffian versions - my FINAL conclusion

Author: Mike S.

Date: 02:52:54 02/29/04

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On February 29, 2004 at 04:17:05, Jouni Uski wrote:

>I think we can safely remove Ruffian from PRO engines, because there is now 4
>(!) versions after free 1.0.5, but it's unclear if ANY is better. This is not
>professional product!

Haven't the latest updates been released just a few days ago? Isn't it a bit
early for "final conclusions?" :-)

For the SSDF ratings, Ruffian 2.0.0 has so far been matched against 4 different
programs only, 3 of which were running on K6-2/450 or even P200 only (F5.32).
The Elo system underestimates the chances of the weaker player to draw (as
statistics experts have explained). This means, a program will always be
underestimated when matched against opposition which is much weaker (in
average). Compare the opponents 1.0.0 had to play against.

Also, SSDF is the only rating list I'm currently aware of, where 2.x versions
are clearly behind 1.x versions (actually it isn't so clearly when you consider
the statistical margins of error). Another one is St.Pohl's FRC ranking list -
but that isn't classical chess - where 2.0.0 is (only) 10 points behind 1.0.1.
http://www.beepworld.de/members53/frc-list/ewig.htm

Some other ratings:

CSS ratings: 2.0.0 56 Elo points better than 1.0.1
http://www.computerschach.de/rangliste/ewige%20Rangliste.htm

BfF ratings: 2.0.0 14 Elo points better than 1.0.5
http://www.beepworld.de/members39/computerschach2/bff-liste.htm

Blitz ratings (by N.Mielke): 2.1.0 84 Elo points better than 1.0.x
http://www.schachseiten.de/rangliste.htm

These are from short to medium time controls.

I think 40/2h isn't representative for average practise among computerchess
users anyway. I'm sure the typical time per position engines are used, games or
analysis, is much less than 3 minutes average. I don't claim nobody would use
40/2h with chess programs, but I think it's not the majority of cc fans & users.

(For corresspondence players, 3 min. are not typical either :-))

The only real problem we have here IMO, is a psychological one: Too great
expectations. It is very unlikely that a new chess engine who has just joined
the commercial market, can immediatly compete with the very top for a "podest
rank" on the same level (IIRC Tiger being the only glorious exception so far).

Any top-10 engine is a masterpiece (if not any top-20 etc.), so I see absolutely
no reason to panic...

Regards,
M.Scheidl



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