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Subject: Re: Educated guess needed!

Author: Mark Young

Date: 01:05:38 12/11/98

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On December 11, 1998 at 00:36:37, Robert Hyatt wrote:

>On December 10, 1998 at 23:26:26, Mark Young wrote:
>
>>On December 10, 1998 at 20:55:34, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>
>>>On December 09, 1998 at 08:44:32, Lanny DiBartolomeo wrote:
>>>
>>>>On December 09, 1998 at 08:35:51, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>On December 09, 1998 at 06:36:02, Mark Young wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>>Many of use have played over the games of Deep Blue Vs GM Kasparov , and Rebel
>>>>>>10 Vs GM Anand.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>My question is what do you think would be the stronger chess program, and by how
>>>>>>much:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Deep Blue, or Rebel 10 (K6 450Mhz) * 1000
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>this question makes no sense.  In the two longer games Rebel had no real chance,
>>>>>while deep blue won the match it played.  You aren't going to see a rebel*1000
>>>>>in the next hundred years, probably.  Because technology is nowhere near even
>>>>>thinking about machines with picosecond cycle types.  The technology to produce
>>>>>such technology doesn't exist yet...
>>>>>
>>>>>The next problem is that a special-purpose piece of hardware will *always* be
>>>>>orders of magnitude faster than general-purpose hardware, so that if we wait for
>>>>>a 1000x faster rebel, we get a 10000x faster deep blue in the process...
>>>>
>>>>I believe he's just asking (if it were possible) and both where run at the ame
>>>>exact settings which one would be stronger.
>>>
>>>
>>>then you have to define "same exact settings".  IE would it be fair to play
>>>Hiarcs vs Rebel, where both ran at the exact same NPS?  Hiarcs would probably
>>>win easily... but it would have a 5x hardware advantage to equalize NPS
>>>because of it's slower eval speed.
>>>
>>>So this question is *very* difficult to answer.  If you mean equal NPS?  Then
>>>the program with the better eval would win.  That would be deep blue.  If
>>>you mean an "equal handicapping" then I don't know how to do that at all...
>>
>>This is a good point. I used 1000 times faster for Rebel because I always hear
>>that the Deeper Blue hardware was about 1000 times faster then the current
>>micros. I don't know if this is true, or how people came to this conclusion. If
>>Deeper Blue's evaluation is doing 10 times of the work of current micro chess
>>program and people are just getting the speed difference from the NPS count.
>>Then the Deeper Blue hardware could be 10,000 times or more faster then current
>>micro computers hardware. I just don't know.
>>
>
>If you followed my comments about DB, you've seen me use the 10,000X number
>frequently.  250M nodes per second vs 250K for the typical micro, is a factor
>of 1,000.  Factor in the "free computing" available in a hardwired special-
>purpose piece of hardware and 10X is probably reasonable based on numbers they
>have reported when discussing how complex their eval is (Murray or Hsu mentioned
>over 8,000 modifiable "weights" at one of their talks that someone reported on
>here...)
>
>
>
>
>
>>I asked this question because I want to know if the Deeper Blue was a much
>>better program then the current micro chess programs, or they were about the
>>same if we could speed say Rebel 10 up to the rate of a deeper blue.
>
>
>this is an old question,

Yes it is, but I wanted to see what peoples opinion on this was at this time.
Peoples opinion on this seems to change all the time. Mostly when a program like
Rebel 10 has a some success against a strong grandmaster like Anand. I was
shocked that some would think Rebel 10 would be stronger. Did not Don Daily
think Rebel 10 would be equal with just a 10x speed increase. I find this very
interesting. Even if the question itself is old.


 with most of its basis in "fiction."  IE too many
>think that such a "program" is *only* about speed.  I can't count the number
>of times I heard that same thing about Cray Blitz.  Yes it was fast.  But
>when you run it on a micro today (pure fortran version) it is at *least* 10x
>slower than the slowest micro program I know of.  IE it is *not* "fast and
>dumb".
>
>Neither is DB... based on the 12 games I personally watched over 2 years...
>
>
>>
>>I could ask if we put Deeper Blue software on a K6-450Mhz would it be better
>>then the best micros running on the same hardware. But I don't know how fair
>>this would be to Deeper blue. I have heard you say that Crafty is made to run on
>>a fast pentium so you assume it will be. It may not be fair to slow down Deeper
>>Blue and try to compare. Would this be a correct assumption for Deeper Blue.
>
>
>not only that but it would be hard to do...  since they are both hardware and
>software in a "symbiosis" of sorts.  If you made them rewrite what they have
>so it would run on a PC, it may well get rolled over.  But they would probably
>search only 1K nodes per second also...



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