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Subject: Re: Bayesian Forward Pruning

Author: Dan Andersson

Date: 13:45:04 04/09/04

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On April 09, 2004 at 16:29:06, Bob Durrett wrote:

>On April 09, 2004 at 16:24:42, Dann Corbit wrote:
>
>>I have been thinking about forward pruning.  (Did you smell wood burning?)
>>
>>The ten cent description of Baysian logic to those who have not examined it:
>>As more information comes in, we revise our probability estimates.  The Monty
>>Hall problem is an excellent example of it.
>>
>>Anyway, when you look at the techniques used to decide whether or not to
>>exercise some sort of forward pruning that are not complete no-brainers like
>>Alpha-Beta cutoffs, it seems logical to me to employ Baysian logic.  The reason
>>is that advancing search depths give increased information.
>>
>>It seems a perfect fit for the theory.
>
>Not independent.  Sorry.  However, extend the theory and you'll have something!
>May also get a Nobel in the process.  Go for it!
>
>Bob D.
>
 To get a Nobel prize you would have to apply the theory to a field of science.
Due to the unfortunate personal attitude of Nobel towards Mathematicians. I
would suggest a lengthy field trial in economics. It sorely needs more
theoretical underpinnings. And it might prove lucurative. Yes, go for it.

MvH Dan Andersson
>>
>>It seems to me it could even be used with a notion like:
>>Given the large number of available moves and the huge negative score, do we
>>even need to verify this null move?
>>
>>And things of that nature.
>>
>>Has anyone tried it?



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