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Subject: Re: crafty speedup numbers

Author: Anthony Cozzie

Date: 09:31:47 05/07/04

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On May 07, 2004 at 04:42:55, martin fierz wrote:

>On May 07, 2004 at 03:17:44, Gian-Carlo Pascutto wrote:
>
>>On May 06, 2004 at 19:03:48, martin fierz wrote:
>>
>>>point #3 is perhaps most important for the bob vs vincent duel: the standard
>>>error for a 4 CPU test run is on the order of 0.2. if vincent's tests were with
>>>a similarly small number of positions, then the differences measured in these
>>>experiments (2.8 / 3.0 / 3.1) are statistically insignificant, and the whole
>>>argument is pointless :-)
>>
>>Not recessarily - disabling nullmove produced a result with the standard errors
>>halved in my results. That would still allow a significant conclusion.
>>
>>If I assume your 0.2 is a 2SD number (95%), your results are compatible and
>>running a non-nullmove test could still produce the same result. If 0.2 is a
>>1SD number then for some reason your results were much more variable then mine.
>>
>>                n    speedup  error (1SD)
>>------------------------------------------
>>Nullmove       38     2.82     +- 0.101
>>No-nullmove    39     3.07     +- 0.056
>>
>>--
>>GCP
>
>a repeat of "my" numbers
>
>4 CPUs:
>3.15 +- 0.15
>3.29 +- 0.20
>3.06 +- 0.12
>3.19 +- 0.13

Something is amiss:

Martin: 3.17 +- 0.17
GCP:    2.82 +- 0.10

Which means that from GCP's perspective martin's result is impossible (> 3 SD
away!).

Which leaves us with 3 explainations:

1. Crafty has changed
2. Crafty has a different speedup on Opteron vs P3
3. Speedup is not normally distributed.

I am guessing 3.

anthony



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