Author: Peter McKenzie
Date: 13:04:23 05/24/04
Go up one level in this thread
On May 24, 2004 at 14:32:27, Mark Young wrote: >On May 24, 2004 at 12:06:46, Slater Wold wrote: > >>In a thread below, there is a post about Blargh, ICCs top computer. It has won >>60% of its games at standard time controls, and only lost 16% in almost 3,000 >>games! >> >>I am interested to know the OoO (opinion of outcome) of EVERYONE at the >>following experiment, I will be in contact with the operator of Blargh, and will >>try to set this up. >> >>Crafty 19.13 on an AMD FX53 (64-bit) vs Shredder 8 on a Dual Opteron 2.2Ghz >>(32-bit) >> >>10 game match. 120/0. >> >>Opinions? > >This experiment I am sure has been done many times before. The hardware is not >really relevant since crafty has the disadvantage. On equal hardware Shredder >scores 70 to 75 percent above Crafty across all time controls I have tested. > >This is a short match, but a score of 7-3 for Shredder would be the best Crafty >could hope for in this match up. I would say that if Crafty's expected score against Shredder in around 25-30% then in a 10 game match there is still a reasonable chance of getting a 50% score. Someone else can probably give the exact probability but I'd guess it is at least 10%, in which case it certainly seems worth 'hoping for'. cheers, Peter
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