Author: Bas Hamstra
Date: 14:21:25 05/28/04
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On May 28, 2004 at 17:05:52, Dieter Buerssner wrote: >Bas, I fear Elostat error margins are not always reliable. Peter Fendrich and me >had some discussion here before, and we looked at some extreme results. Elostat >error margins seemed wrong. From my memory: we compared something like 1010-990 >under 2 different conditions. Once the better engine won 20 games and 1980 >draws, and once 1010 wins and 990 losses, no draws. At least in one of those >cases, the error margins reported by Elostat were rather suspicious. > >Regards, >Dieter Maybe under extreme conditions. But I must say that so far in this little blitz match I am running the statistics equal exactly what Shredder 5 produces. Same ELO difference between 2 versions, and the same intervals. But I will keep an eye on it... I use version 1.1 here, if I am not mistaken I indeed read somewhere something about a 50% bug, probably on the web. Bas.
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