Author: Peter Berger
Date: 06:38:48 06/17/04
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On June 17, 2004 at 06:18:11, Uri Blass wrote: >On June 17, 2004 at 05:00:42, Peter Skinner wrote: > >>On June 17, 2004 at 01:19:57, Jouni Uski wrote: >> >>>I wouldn't be surprised, if: >>> >>>1) Junior 9/11 >>>2) Fritz 8,5 >>>3) Shredder 8 >>> >>>Jouni >> >>If Crafty shows up with the 8-way opteron: >> >>1. Crafty 8.5/11 >>2. Junior 8/11 >>3. Shredder 7.5/11 >>4. Fritz 7.5/11 >> >>I don't think _anything_ showing up there will be able to compete with the speed >>factor Robert will bring. He also has already shown on a 4 way he is more than >>capable of holding his own in the CCT's.. let alone on the 8-way. > >I think you overestimate Crafty. > >Shredder is still favourite even with 2:1 hardware advantage for Crafty. > >Big hardware advantage can help but even with 8 processors that crafty is not >going to have Crafty is not going to have more than 2:1 hardware advantage. > >In the CCT shredder did not play and shredder is clearly better than Junior. > >I believe that in the CCT Crafty had more than 2:1 hardware advantage relative >to Junior and the important tournament for the commercial programs is WCC and >not CCT. > >After reading peter berger's post I expect Crafty only to get 5.5/11 or 6/11. >(better than most of the amatuers but weaker than Shreeder,Junior,Fritz). > >Uri Guessing time :) ? I think you underestimate Crafty and also its hardware advantage here. Junior, Shredder and Fritz are the clear tournament favourites IMHO - they are also the entries that can be expected to come up with hardware that is not *that* much slower than Crafty's if at all, although they are the ones who need it the least, but Crafty will most probably have a decent hardware advantage in all other games. 4th or 5th place is most likely IMHO, where there is also some chance to outperform one of the top professionals, so 3rd would be a very nice and not *too* unrealistic positive extreme. 6th or 7th is probably the negative extreme if things go badly. We'll find out soon ;). What is your tournament goal for Movei? Peter
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