Author: Dann Corbit
Date: 20:06:13 06/23/04
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On June 23, 2004 at 22:50:38, Mike Byrne wrote: >Do we have now have machines on desktops equal to Deep Blue in strength as Don >Daily suggested may happen in 10 years or less back in 1999? > >http://chessprogramming.org/cccsearch/ccc.php?art_id=44793 > >Let's hear your opinions! No question about it. At the half-way point, an 8-way AMD 64 bit box gets a significant chunk of it (about 10% of Deep Blue's best burst rate IIRC). with 5 more doublings, that would give 1.6x Deep Blue's full tilt, max throughput. Of course that is for bleeding edge. A high-end workstation will be about on par with Deep Blue, I would think. Probably, a very excellent estimate by Don (I don't think you could guess closer in terms of years -- 9 years and not yet, 11 years and enormously faster.)
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