Author: Mike Byrne
Date: 20:17:26 06/23/04
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On June 23, 2004 at 23:06:13, Dann Corbit wrote: >On June 23, 2004 at 22:50:38, Mike Byrne wrote: > >>Do we have now have machines on desktops equal to Deep Blue in strength as Don >>Daily suggested may happen in 10 years or less back in 1999? >> >>http://chessprogramming.org/cccsearch/ccc.php?art_id=44793 >> >>Let's hear your opinions! > >No question about it. >At the half-way point, an 8-way AMD 64 bit box gets a significant chunk of it >(about 10% of Deep Blue's best burst rate IIRC). > >with 5 more doublings, that would give 1.6x Deep Blue's full tilt, max >throughput. Of course that is for bleeding edge. A high-end workstation will >be about on par with Deep Blue, I would think. > >Probably, a very excellent estimate by Don (I don't think you could guess closer >in terms of years -- 9 years and not yet, 11 years and enormously faster.) That was my thought , that Don made one heck of a good estimate there and it is in part why I posted it.
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