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Subject: Re: Shredder 8 in Argentina: what would Kasparov do?

Author: Dann Corbit

Date: 12:23:22 07/21/04

Go up one level in this thread


On July 21, 2004 at 13:17:26, George Sobala wrote:

>It has been claimed that a REAL super GM would also have struggled to get a good
>TPR against such lowly opposition as Shredder faced in Argentina.

Not "would have" but "could have".  Anyone could have a bad day.  Remeber
Anand's Dortmund disaster (2505 TPR)?  I am sure he would like to forget it:

Sparkassen Cat XXI, Dortmund GER
, 2001
Average Rating: 2752  (Category 21)
                          Rtng    Age Nat    Score     T M K A L A   Perf Chg
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1: Topalov, Veselin      2710  gm 25 BUL   1.0 /  1   X . . 1 . .   3789  +6
 2: Morozevich, Alexander 2745  gm 23 RUS   1.0 /  1   . X . 1 . .   3789  +6
 3: Kramnik, Vladimir     2800  gm 25 RUS   1.0 /  1   . . X 1 . .   3789  +5
 4: Anand, Viswanathan    2790  gm 31 IND   1.0 /  5   0 0 0 X = =   2505 -19
 5: Leko, Peter           2730  gm 21 HUN   0.5 /  1   . . . = X .   2790  +1
 6: Adams, Michael        2740  gm 29 ENG   0.5 /  1   . . . = . X   2790  +1
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
5 games: +1 =2 -2

>To investigate this further, I posed the question: how would Kasparov have
>performed?
>
>To do this, I have looked at all games played by Kasparov against opponents with
>ELO 2200 to 2500 from the year 1990, as recorded in Chess Assistant Hugebase,
>with updates.
>
>His results are:
>
>+57 =23 -2

Look at Shredder's results against the same crowd.

>Assuming average opponent ELO is 2350 (I cannot be bothered to calculate it
>exactly and this is about right):
>
>TPR = 2632,  95% CI = 2538 to 2683
>
>Haha! Kasparov, like Shredder-8, is undone by weak opponents!
>
>Except that, unlike Shredder-8's games, all Gary's games were SIMULS .....

In other words, Kasparov never plays 2400 players at tournemant time control.



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