Author: Uri Blass
Date: 10:27:53 07/26/04
1 minute per game Movei-Crazybishop 32.5-17.5 2 minutes per game 15.5-4.5(stopped in the middle) 10 minutes per game only 27-23 Surprising results because I expected movei to do better at longer time control against crazybishop I suspect tat there is some problem in the transition from very fast time control to fast time control because movei may profit from not clearing the hash at very fast time control so I may try also 20 minutes per game Note that Movei was leading 14-6 after 20 games in 10 minutes per game when the result in 1 minute per game was only 12.5-7.5 after the first 20 gamesand I think that the difference between 27-23 and 32.5-17.5 falls inside the statistical error when both are logical when the expected result is near 60%) The varaiety of the result of 50 game match is 50 times the variety of 1 game and assuming 50% for the strongewr player and 30% for the weaker player(there were only 11 or 12 draws out of 50 games) we get variety of 0.19 for one game. 0.4^2*0.5+0.6^2*0.3+0.1^2*0.2=0.08+0.108+0.002=0.19 0.19*50=9.8 so the standard deviation is more than 3 points and 30-20 may be changed to 27-23 or 32.5-27.5 in significant part of the cases. Uri
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