Author: Fernando Villegas
Date: 15:56:51 01/05/99
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Dear Chris: We does not need to speculate about what could happen IF Bill gates decides to make a run in the chess field. We already know what happens when you put toguether a very great amount of resources: critical mass appears and great jumps are the rsult. Manhattan proyect is an example: many phisicyst already knew about nuclear reactions et all, but it was needed a huge amount of money, personnel etc to make it work. That's the reason Germany was not capable, least Japan. In fact, even if Bill does not do anything about this, it is already happening, as in any industry once it has reached certain level of development. I think that Ed and Christophe venture is a sample of that. I am sure they have already discovered great ideas and new grounds for progress due to his colaboration. In any science or technology, when you put people to work toguether and gives them money enough, results begin to flow in mass. To think that the esential thing is personal creativity of this or that genius is somewhat naive. Truly genuses are badly needed when no organization and many tools and resoruces are present, but once organization exist, the accumulative work of high intelligences get more things that anything an isolated genius can get. besides, do not believe we have already reache a top level in chess programming. They are very primitive in the fact that, although they get results, the do that trought a kind of accumulated practical wisdom in the same sense alchemist got things trought many years of practice. A great research team with money to spare could get a fundamental jump in terms of creating a real AI chess engine instead of what we have now, just a machine that run a list of specific routines that works fine toguether in the most unscientific way, just adding weights and testing the mix with thousands of games. Alchemy, again. Anf , of course, don be deceived by the apparent trivial meaning of "just" going from 2600 to 2700 or even 2650; it is a great jump and you as master know it. If a great reasearch team can do it, IT will be a wonderfull jump. fernando
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