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Subject: Re: Hydra node speed from CSS forum

Author: Robert Hyatt

Date: 12:33:19 08/30/04

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On August 30, 2004 at 14:51:01, Uri Blass wrote:

>On August 30, 2004 at 13:51:48, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>
>>On August 30, 2004 at 12:24:54, Volker Böhm wrote:
>>
>>>On August 30, 2004 at 10:02:54, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>
>>>>On August 30, 2004 at 08:30:34, Kurt Utzinger wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>On August 30, 2004 at 08:12:52, Jouni Uski wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>>Eine FPGA-Karte untersucht momentan ca. 3 Millionen Positionen/Sekunde. 16
>>>>>>Karten machen daher theoretisch 48 MPos/sec. (Donninger)
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Jouni
>>>>>
>>>>>      If Hydra made 48 Mpos/sec this again proves (in comparison
>>>>>      with the 2 Mpos/sec on Quad-Opteron server with 4 CPU's of
>>>>>      Shredder) that the number of pos/sec can't be taken as a
>>>>>      reliable value for the goodness of a chess program. It's
>>>>>      of course simply impossible to compare apples and organes.
>>>>>      Kurt [http://www.utzingerk.com]
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>Don't forget that Hydra ripped Shredder's head off.  So the NPS _might_ be
>>>>significant here...
>>>
>>>Didn´t I´ve heard you saying that 10 games are not enough to draw a
>>>statistically significant conclusion on the playing strength?
>>>
>>>Greetings Volker
>>
>>
>>With two _close_ opponents, correct.  But if one is seriously stronger, as hydra
>>appeared to be, 10 games is plenty.
>
>We do not know if hydra is seriously stronger.

We have a pretty good clue that it is.  It is over 10x faster, potentially, than
other programs.

1. I first assume that the programmer / designer is no dummy.

2.  all else being "equal" 10x faster is a _serious_ advantage.

3.  the above two points translate into a signficant strength advantage.


>
>You cannot start by assuming that hydra is significantly stronger when this is
>the question.

With evidence, you can.  IE I can certainly assume that Crafty on an 8-way
opteron is significantly stronger than Crafty on my dual xeon.


>
>If you see 10-0 you can say based on the result that Hydra is significantly
>stronger but when you see 5.5-2.5 you cannot claim it based on the result and
>you only can say that you do not know if it is significantly stronger based on
>the result.
>


If you only look at the results, maybe or maybe not.  But I watched many of the
games with Crafty analyzing.  That tells you even more.



>Uri



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